NFL Notes – Week 1

• See the Chiefs winning but game underwhelms
• Maybe some late 4th quarter fireworks.
• Just want to watch and learn and not risk losing money
• Should be good barrometer

• I think Brandin Cooks has a good year in Houston and he scores as Houston takes the lead first.
• Lack of home crowd for the defending champs is a problem for Kansas City early.
• Mahomes clicks in the second quarter — game has a similar flow to the playoff game where Houston jumps out early (13-0) and then KC just roars away.
• CEH scores 1.  Mahomes rushes one in.  Mahomes throws one to a TE not named Kelce.
• Chiefs win 30-20, Texans get their second TD late after a long scoreless drought.

• This game could have offense in it.
• Similar game to last year on Thanksgiving
• Kenny G scores out early but the end product doesn’t justify it.
• Kerryon Johnson screen TD
• Allen Robinson has 8 or 9 catch game, if anyone scores Anthony Miller does.
• Detroit wins by 4, 27-23….

• I want this game to be good – I just think it flops
• Just a lot of garbage on the Lions side.  Don’t trust anything offensively.  In a week you want to find sneaky games this one feels like a trap.
• Lions win.  19-16.

Browns at Ravens OU: 48

• Browns will cover their season wins, it won’t start with this game.
• They will start the season 0-1.
• We’re going to need a RB on the Ravens.
• Ravens rush for 200 yards (Lamar 1 TD), could be J.K. Dobbins.
• Mayfield winds up throwing 2 TD as they are playing from behind.  He shows some good….  Thinking who he throws it too (says not Landry)
• Could definitely see Austin Hooper catching a TD (his only one this year)
• Mayfield throws for 280 yards and 2 scores, in consideration.

• Love the Browns.
• Jarvis Landry does that thing where he catches a crosser and takes it deep.
• Beckham catches a bomb.  Landry has a very good 7-113 type day.
• Baker Mayfield throws 2 TD, throws 280+ yards.
• Browns are a stack.  Baker-RB-Landry-OBJ
• Maybe a TE for the Ravens scores.  Not sure I like them much.
• Lamar Jackson doesn’t have a good rushing game but I can see him rushing one in if the game stays close.

Packers at Vikings

• Dom is gonna be bold.  Vikings win 16-13.
• Vikings defense is in play.  This is NOT the Packers year.
• All the pre-season for key Packer players will be justified immediately in week one.
• Davante Adams has a heavy catch game that results in nothing.
• 8 or 9 catches for 80 or 90 yards.
• Packers look like shit but Vikings dont play well either – defense shines & a couple of turnovers.

• Of all the games with no fans in week one, this one feels the most out of place….
• I don’t like how the Packers ended their season last year.
• Adam Theilen scores, maybe twice.
• But that’s it.  He doesn’t dominate the stat sheet, just gets the touchdowns.
• I can see Dalvin Cook going over 100 yards but he needs a couple big runs.  Don’t think he scores.
• 23-6 Vikings win.  I’ll side with the better head coach.

Colts at Jaguars (Fans) OU: 45

• Colts play close to vest and they win by two touchdowns.  24-10.
• Not Jonathan Taylor.  Either Mack or Hines catches screen for TD
• Not going to want anything on the Colts because they are so evenly spread and now they have weapons & they will ease Rivers into safe and successful game plan against inferior opponent.
• Shenault 6-80 and a touchdown and he is the rookie you wish you had.
• But Jaguars get fricken waxed….
• Colts shut everything else down.

• Colts win.  Colts might win big.
• Jacksonville smells like this years Dolphins – the team everyone scores 40 points on because they are so bad on both sides of the ball.
• Colts play slow though so it doesn’t feel right but there’s magic in the Colts, I don’t know who is really the play but this is where some sleeper WR who is going to be really good in fantasy breaks out.
• Michael Pittman Jr!   5-86 and a TD.  A very solid afternoon.
• Rivers has a great game.
• Colts score 40.

Raiders at Panthers OU: 47.5

• Like better fireworks in this game.  How do you not like Josh Jacobs.
• Renfroe 6-50-TD.  Jacobs scores.
• Curtis Samuel scores
• CMC gets 180 total yards and no score.
• Dom likes Jacobs better.
• Vegas wins (Vegas always wins).
• Raiders win and come in with some offensive spark.  Derek Carr does well first 6 or 7 games every year.  Come out with 240+ yards, 3 TD.
• 30-21 or 30-24, Raiders win.
• Maybe Ian Thomas scores or some no name for Bridgewater to score.

• Has to be a chalky DFS game.  I don’t like either QB.
• Panthers rush D better at home – does that trend continue?  If not, Josh Jacobs.
• Probably locking in CMC and moving on from here.
• Matt Rhule factor has me confused.
• Tyrell Williams (big receiver) is the OAK receiver.

Dolphins at Patriots

• Dom thinks you have to like this game too.
• Early season Fitzmagic?
• Miami wins.
• Patrick Williams TD
• N’Keal Harry does not do it on the other side.
• Cam Newton looks average at best…..
• 17-13 Miami… maybe no fireworks in this game.

• Ryan Fitzmagic vs New England?
• Next.
• No love at all.  Curious to see if New England D plays well though.
• Hell no I’m not touching Cam Newton despite this being an obvious Cam game.
• New England wins.

Jets at Bills

• Bills win
• Do it on the ground as well as John Brown catches 6 or 7 or 80 yards.
• Not a Diggs game.  Beasley 4 for 50
• They run two in – Zack Moss scores
• 2 rushing TD and Josh Allen finds someone on a short one (J.Brown), 7 yard touchdown.
• Jets look completely dysfunctional – especially on offense (going south big time this year).

• Tre White pick 6
• No clue.

Eagles at Redskins OU: 42.5

• Redskins cover
• Tery McLauren, Terry McLauren — hold the phone
• Yeah I guess he isnt going to do it this week … Because Darius Slay will be covering him.
• Philly wins at the buzzer with a 3 point field goal (won’t be Ben Simmons)
• Washington TE?  Who is second WR?
• Two Washington touchdowns through the air.
• Both Eagles TE score.  But don’t expect them to have huge games.

• Redskins win
• Both teams show that their defenses are better than public perception
• Terry McLauren does score, but it’s not a 100 yard receiving day.  He does score though in the second half.
• Haskins isn’t very good.
• Washington defense plays well though.  Washington D wins the game.
• Not liking Wentz at all in this game.  Nor Ertz.
• Low scoring game.

Seahawks at Falcons OU: 49

• I think Seahawks win 24-21
• Tyler Lockett has a good game and is in consideration for optimal lineups. Break 100 yards and get a score.
• Wilson has 2 TD, not sure how they get their third one.  One to Lockett and he has a really good day.
• Todd Gurley has a mediocre performance, shows health and optimism.
• Calvin Ridley is probably the highest performer but not a must own.
• Ridley is prototypical example of premiere on road and secondary at home.
• 40 to 50 yards and a score….
• Russell Gage scores, Julio does not.
• Love for it to be blockbuster just don’t see it.

• BONER ALERT
• But it’s not Seattle
• Todd Gurley has his best game of the 2020 season.
• Todd Gurley
• How does one not love DK Metcalf though?  Big WR vs Atlanta.
• I assume Russell Wilson is one of chalky QB’s this week.

Chargers at Bengals  OU: 47.5

• Dom likes Chargers defense
• Burrow as good as he is does not have a great first game.
• Can’t like anything on the Bengals side of the ball.
• Hunter Henry game.  85 yards and two touchdowns.
• Austin Ekeler gets 100 yards combined, rush and receiving.
• Final score 24-6.

• WTF …
• Lack of continuity trap game?
• The names sound cool but the game logically doesn’t.
• Bengals are a bad team that plays better than expected week one.
• I have no idea.  If this game does me in then so be it….

Cardinals at 49ers – OU: 47.5

• There is a route that can be ran and it will be Christian Kirk who catches a long one.  Won’t have an overall game so he has to seize the opportunity.
• Don’t know how Arizona is going to stop them?
• No must own DFS play on the San Francisco side.
• At the end of the day Kyler Murray has 250 + 100 rushing and 2 scores, he has a top 5 day….
• Technically George Kittle should have, just dont see it.

• Arizona gave San Francisco fits last season, this is a good close game.
• This is the better of the two 4PM games for DFS
• Christian Kirk is the Cardinal that scores & has lots of production…
• Kyler has a pretty good game (2nd year QB?)
• Not loving the San Francisco side per say, could see Jimmy G having a better than people project game.  WTF are the receivers???

Bucs at Saints – OU: 49

• Kamara game right out of the gate.  Does it through the passing attack.
• Has 8 or 9 catches in this game.  Breaks 100 yards (110 to be exact) and a score.
• Manny Sanders is the moving the chains guy.  6 for 80.  or 6 for 60, he moves the chains…
• Mike Evans catches a jump ball touchdown, how far, how deep, he catches a jump ball touchdown.
• Assuming Godwin is highly recommended because of a volume catch perspective but not liking the game very much.
• Each offense holds ball for long time….
• Like Kamara … Not gonna play Evans despite TD
• Saints win the game 26-17.  Maybe 26-20.

• Both defenses score
• Janoris Jenkins pick 6 / Jared Cook fumble, recovered for a Tampa touchdown
• Not Taysom Hill, but Jameis Winston throws a gimmick play against his former team, to Deonte Harris for a 45 yard touchdown.
• All the vulture touchdowns in this game.  All of them.  It likely finishes around 27-23 as the final score, but it’s all spread around and all vulture spots.  Every DFS player in this game gets you a blah score.
• Brees plays really well.

Cowboys at Rams (SNF)

• Rams win.  Rams roll on offense.

Steelers at Giants (MNF)

• Like high scoring back and forth game even though Steelers defense is very good.
• Explosive game.  Giants come out with fireworks in first half but Steelers shut them down late.
• Like both QB.  Ben on Monday night even on road?  Gotta like this game out of the three primetime games this week.

Titans at Broncos (MNF)

• Ew.