TOP TIER GAMES
68: Virginia Tech (-9) at Wake Forest
70: Auburn (-3) at Ole Miss
61: Florida State at Louisville (-5)
61: N.C. State at North Carolina (-15)
MID RANGE GAMES
59: Oklahoma (-6.5) at TCU
52: Iowa State at Oklahoma State (-3.5)
61: Baylor at Texas (-9)
GAMES THAT I HAVE LITTLE TO NO INTEREST IN
62: Syracuse at Clemson (-46)
49: Kansas at Kansas State (-20)
66: Alabama (-21) at Tennessee
Notre Dame at Pittsburgh
Kentucky at Missouri
TOP GAMES OF THE DAY
CFB is generally very chalky in relation to the over/under projections because there’s good reason for them tied to offenses generally being one dimensional, so the choice on these top games is if you go all in, balance them all out, or fade one and mix in the appropriate one offs.
There is no Marquee Game this weekend. We have a couple large favorites in Clemson and Alabama who both offer some studs to consider and no total that is over the 70 mark this weekend. This means that going the gamestack route on just the highest total game is not a good blind way to play this weekend, but it doesn’t mean we can’t do it on some of the secondary games.
Favorite Game
Auburn (-3) at Mississippi
Ole Miss has been horrific defensively and should have their hands full with two very good athletes at Wide Receiver for Auburn in Anthony Schwartz ($5300) and Seth Williams ($4900). Their prices are just too cheap in a game that should have lots of possessions and points. While Bo Nix isn’t exactly a stud Quarterback in my mind, at his $7000 price and a little rushing ability he has to be in play in a gamestack scenario.
Ole Miss was a let down last week on the road and they just played poorly all around on offense. I expect them to rebound offensively this week and Elijah Moore remains the most consistent WR in College DFS.
Auburn: Bo Nix, Tank Bigsley (RB) Anthony Schwartz (WR), Seth Williams (WR)
Mississippi: Matt Corral, Elijah Moore
Sneaky Game
Iowa State at Oklahoma State (-3.5)
Oklahoma State has not been as high flying offensively this year as in years past and almost all of that is attributed to inconsistent play at Quarterback. They will be getting Spencer Sanders back at QB this week and it’s a major boost that is going under the radar for them. Iowa State is good defensively against the run which funnels everything to the pass even more and I like Sanders to come out and get the Cowboy offense going big time in a sneaky shootout. The total is way too low on this game and I wouldn’t be shocked if the over hits early in the third quarter.
Iowa State: Brock Purdy
Oklahoma State: Spencer Sanders, Tylan Wallace, Dillon Stoner, Chuba Hubbard
MY POSITIONAL RANKINGS
QUARTERBACKS
Spencer Sanders (Oklahoma State) – $6,400
Sam Howell (North Carolina) – $7,900
Will Howard (Kansas State) – $6,600
RUNNING BACKS
Travis Etienne (Clemson) – $8,200 … Likely pulled at the half due to a blowout, but I wouldn’t dare expect him to flop again this week.
Javian Hawkins (Louisville) – $6,600
Deuce Vaughn (Kansas State) – $7,000
WIDE RECEIVERS
Elijah Moore (Ole Miss)
Tylan Wallace (Oklahoma State) … I absolutely LOVE Dillon Stoner as a cheap WR instead of Tylan Wallace, but Wallace is arguably the most talented WR in the Big 12 and should eat again this week.
Xavier Hutchinson (Iowa State)
Seth Williams (Auburn) … Gotta have either Williams or Schwartz this week and given they’re so cheap I wouldn’t be against using BOTH in the same lineup with Bo Nix.
Dazz Newsome (North Carolina) … Dazz remains a cheap play with tons of upside. Not expecting another 2 TD game here but he should get good value. Consider Dyami Brown in play too for Carolina as they lean on Sam Howell.
Value WR:
- Dillon Stoner (Oklahoma State) – $3,600
- Frank Ladson Jr (Clemson) – $4,600
- Andrew Parchment (Kansas) – $4,400
- Charlie Kolar (Iowa State) – $4,100
CORE BUILD
Sam Howell
Travis Etienne
Seth Williams
Dillon Stoner