DAILY-AMBUSH · November 25, 2020

NFL Notes – Week 12

NFL NOTES – Week 12

Thanksgiving Slate DOM STEVE
Houston at

Detroit

  • Watson will be the most popular and cash game recommendation.
  • Dom loves Matt Stafford
  • Stafford to Golladay.  Stafford to Hockenson.
  • If Kenny isnt playing, then big issue.
  • Come back on other side — could see Fuller scoring, not ceiling game.
  • Love Duke Johnson on the other side.
  • Houston playing behind and Duke catches a ton of balls.
  • Watson’s the obvious chalk QB, finishes over 23 fantasy points to justify it.
  • He throws for 300 yards.  He does not rush one in, but he has 4 TD potential.
  • Minimum 2 TD, probably a 3rd upside for a 4th.
  • One touchdown to Duke Johnson, another touchdown to Darren Fells
  • One touchdown does go to Fuller.  Does Cooks get the fourth?
  • I never like Duke Johnson, but I do here.
  • Lions put up some points too.  This is a great Thanksgiving game.
  • Stafford connects with Golladay and Marvin Hall for big plays.
  • But the Lions RB steal a touchdown.  If Swift plays, Swift scores.
  • I think Lions actually win the game.  I may have given Watson slightly too much.
  • All the Houston TD come through the air.  DET touchdown are split.
  • Need to know if Swift is in or out though.
  • 30-27 Lions.  Texans miss an extra point.
Washington at

Dallas

  • Agree w/ Cooper play.  Definitely agree w/ Cooper
  • Washingtons lack of power back to lean on hurts them
  • Think Dallas might win
  • Dallas might win
  • Yawn
  • Can see why Zeke is a liked play, has not done it all year.
  • Dallas will think they have a shot to win the division, but they find a way to fuck it up.
  • Dalton is not going to play well.  Shoot, neither is Alex Smith.
  • Terry McLaurin feels like a Cowboy killer.
  • Amari Cooper sneaky Cowboy #1 WR everyone forgets about.  He’ll go over 100 yards and is the only Cowboy WR to consider.
  • Enjoy the nap otherwise.
Baltimore at

Pittsburgh

  • This is not a blowout
  • Hollywood Brown makes an appearance.  57 yards, right to left, could be on a pass by the ghost of Elvis Grbac
  • Sorry but it’s a Mark Ingram game again.  I know Dobbins appears to be the lead dog now but Ingram scores on grass.
  • That’s about all the Ravens do, but it’s enough to keep them within 10 points.
  • We have an over (HOU-DET) an under (WAS-DAL) and this one falls right on the number.  I’m guessing the number is 47 or so (haven’t checked as of writing this).
  • So 27-20.  Pittsburgh gets it done through Diontae again.  My bad forgetting Sunday was JuJu’s birthday.  Ben throws 2 TD.  Ah.  Steelers defense scores.
  • Steelers defense DOES score.  Fuck.  Steelers or Washington D.
  • James Washington touchdown?

 

MAIN SLATE

Sunday Slate DOM STEVE
Miami at

NY Jets

  • Dolphins win this game going away
  • Like Gisecki
  • Tua runs one in
  • Four FG from Miami
  • Defense might get a pick 6.
  • Jamison Crowder on the other side has a good game, look for recommendations on him.  Could score.  If priced right he could be a value relief play.
  • All Dolphins.  Crowder could have a nice game.
  • If Fitzpatrick starts (I doubt it) – load up some more DaVante Parker
  • If Tua starts – just lock in those Miami Dolphins Defenders
  • However…
  • If Sam Darnold starts for the Jets, he will do well.  Crowder will have a big game.
  • If Joe Flacco remains in, Breshard Perriman remains the #1.
  • Actually.  Nah.  I’ll pass on Dolphins defense.
Arizona at

New England

  • Damien Harris is going to be a very good play but they use a ton of backs so its hard to lock him in.
  • Power it up the gut on Arizona.
  • LOVE New England’s defense
  • BB notorious for limiting Hopkins.
  • NE Pick 6.
  • Power running game, not a ceiling game for Harris, very good cash floor game.
  • Think NE controls the game.
  • This is the last game of the year.
  • Chase Edmonds catches one who gives a fuck.
  • No projected weather issues.  Arizona on a 1PM game though — I know for a fact they have a future 1PM game at the Giants but I do not think it is next week.
  • So Gilmore is back and it meant nothing.  Kinda like Hopkins but really see Christian Kirk catching something deep or Isabella.
  • For some reason Belichek will have his guys leave Fitz unguarded to score a touchdown to he can say he is the greatest thing ever and his team can lose and draft a QB or something stupid like that.
  • I’m just not feeling Kyler.  He’s gotta be considered I know, but I swear his rushing touchdowns appear to mostly come at home.  It’s not a Kyler explosion game but he’ll throw one to Kirk or Isabella, maybe a slant to Fitz (doubt it though).
  • So do you want to go with Kenyan Drake or Edmunds?  No thanks.
  • Pats offense remains trash to me.
Carolina at

Minnesota

  • Please Teddy play, Robbie Anderson.  6 catches minimum for Robbie Anderson.  He gets back into the flow of things.
  • Carolina wins.
  • Like CMC more than Dalvin, not sure will own either.
  • Kirk Cousins has a bad game
  • It’s Robbie Anderson for Dom
  • Not sure gonna own either RB, like CMC more.
  • Giddy up!
  • Who scores more fantasy points.  The entire Patriots offense, or the Carolina WR?
  • DJ Moore, Robby Anderson, Curtis Samuel, spin the wheel and pray.  Moore/Anderson for sure have to be considered.  How do you not love them?   How?
  • Give me Teddy, Moore, Anderson and then flip the page over and plug in Dalvin Cook catching 4 passes and just running all over the Panthers.
  • Teddy hits Anderson for 8 catches, 150 yards, 0 touchdowns.
  • Teddy hits Moore for 5 catches, 123  yards, 2 touchdowns.
  • Curtis Samuel rushes one in.
  • Dalvin Cook accounts for 175 yards from scrimmage, 3 touchdowns.
  • Pew-Pew, Pew-Pew….
Cleveland at

Jacksonville

OU: 49

  • DJ Chark… Baby Shark Song.  DJ Chark.
  • How do you not love Nick Chubb.
  • Fresh legs against tiring defenses, 120 and a touchdown.
  • Square on the radar.  Running very fresh right now.
  • Baker throws two touchdowns somehow to some people
  • Dont care if one is to Landry
  • Whoever is lined up behind Baker Mayfield rushes for positive yards and does that thing that is worth 6 points.
  • End analysis.
Tennessee at

Indianapolis

OU: 51.5

  • Don’t like anything on Indy side.  Good luck on RB scoring.
  • Derrick Henry – 95 and a touchdown.
  • Corey Davis also scores.
  • Corey Dvais sighting.
  • Mo-Alie Cox sighting and Sgt Doyle.
  • You hear that noise?  Do you hear it?  What is that?  Is it a bird?  Is it a plane?
  • That would be the Derrick Henry December train.
  • It’s cranking up.  It’s not quite up to full steam yet.  It’s getting there.
  • I want to say Henry and Brown again for the Titans, but I think it’s another middling game for them both.  They do enough to move the ball down the field and sustain drives to help their team win, but they do not do enough to win DFS contests, make sense?
  • I would suspect, Michael Pittman Jr, is a very popular DFS recommendation this week.
  • Wouldn’t be shocked to see Pascal vulture a touchdown.  Or Trey Burton.
  • Burton and Doyle scored last week, can they score again this week?
  • Pittman has a good volume game.  This week’s Tyler Boyd.  He gets you enough to sustain your lineup.  Doesn’t carry it.
  • Good game to snag a piece or two from, not a game to stack.
  • I lean the Titans to win 26-23.  Not sold on the Colts and haven’t been all year.
NY Giants at

Cincinnati

  • If Joe Mixon is not playing Bengals dont stand a chance
  • Sterling has 7-85-1
  • Darius Slayton scores
  • Wayne Gallman scores
  • 24-13 Giants
  • Daniel Jones could be a good cash game recommendation
  • How many carries will Joe Mixon and Gio Bernard get?
  • No, I do not like Daniel Jones.
  • No, I do not like Darius Slayton.
  • Yes, I do like Evan Engram a little.
  • I do not want to take the cheese on this game.
  • Consider the Giants defense and move on.  This game blows.
LA Chargers at

Buffalo

  • Josh Allen runs one in.
  • Devin Singletary runs one in.
  • 8-yard button hook TD for Stefon Diggs that ends, 5-55-1
  • Dont think the Chargers show up for this game.
  • Mike Williams irrelevant
  • Hunter Henry irrelevant
  • Keenan Allen will catch 4 or 5, thats what he does.
  • Buffalo off a BYE, dominates Herbert.
  • Buffalo defense is a good play, not scoring, 3/4 sacks, 1 turnover.
  • Safe play
  • Nothing on LAC.
  • Buffalo defense should come out and really shine off the BYE.
  • I’m not rushing to much on the Chargers side of the ball.  But man if Herbert lights it up here we gotta talk about him as special.  But I don’t think he does.
  • Stefon Diggs will have a big catch but that’s all he does, it’s one to carry our seasonal team, but not in DFS.
  • I think Allen is just okay though.
  • The game sounds great, but it’s not.  Buffalo defense dominates, has 5 sacks, 2 turnovers.
  • I could be wrong on this game but Bills win 30-10
  • Buffalo ground game has a nice afternoon.  Zack Moss will score twice and rush under 100 yards.  Zack Moss fits my RB theory.  Mid range home favored RB.
Oakland at 

Atlanta

  • This screams of Oakland getting out and ahead in this game.
  • Jacobs scores.  Jacobs scores via the pass.
  • Waller scoring on a short one.
  • It’s Agholor.  He scores.
  • Could like Carr (3 TD?)
  • I see Matt Ryan having a completely empty game.
  • 400 yards passing, maybe a touchdown or two, constantly behind.
  • Oakland controls the whole game.
  • Atlanta throwing the whole time and game ends with Ryan having 380-420 empty yards that result in little to no points.
  • 31-14 Oakland wins.
  • One touchdown to Zaccheus.  One to Julio.
  • Really bad spot for Oakland, but my analysis is very simple here.
  • Don’t fuck this up Gruden.
  • Go power formation, turn and hand the ball off to Josh Jacobs
  • Let Josh Jacobs eat.
  • When Jacobs gets tired, nobody on Atlanta can cover Darren Waller so let him catch a couple balls.  Then tell Jacobs to get his ass back out there and run it with him.
  • Josh Jacobs all game long.  Pound it down their throats, chew up the clock, go home.
  • Calvin Ridley has a good game for Atlanta.  He’ll catch 8 balls.
  • Jacobs and Ridley
  • GIVE THE DAMN BALL TO JOSH JACOBS ALL GAME
New Orleans at

Denver

  • Feel it’s not a good spot for Saints.
  • Like Jerry Jeudy, dont know why, 100 yards and a score.
  • Feel it’s not a good spot for Saints, but … think Kamara has a 50 and 50 game easily.  If not more 60 and 60 and a score.
  • Is Kamara having 60-60 and a score enough?
  • Only way Saints win is if Denver does not score more than 23 points.
  • Feel invest in the game and Denver wins in a higher scoring game.
  • But if Saints control it and Kamara has those numbers.
  • Feel its a weird spot for Saints, could see taking a loss here.
  • Welcome, to the Michael Thomas game.
  • 15 catches.  Yes.  15.
  • 209 yards receiving.  Yes.  209.  He has 209 of Taysom’s 203 yards passing.
  • And a touchdown.
  • Oh the Michael Thomas experience is here.
  • There will be one shot play to Sanders, but not many because Broncos will get pressure off the edges faster than the Falcons did.  Or Sanders scores on some gimmick play.
  • But Michael Thomas.  Just plug him in and move on.
  • The problem is the game could just die into a rushing game in the second half, so the 15-209-1 that he has at halftime will just die….  I’m kidding.
  • oh fuck
  • Saints will not have any issues guarding Tim Patrick.
  • Saints will not have any issues guarding KJ Hamler.
  • Whatever Noah Fant.  Whatever Melvin Gordon.  Whatever Patrick Lindsay (although he’ll bust one for a 30 yard touchdown)
  • but, oh fuck.
  • shit.
  • oh. dear. god.
  • Fuck me.
  • Open your lineup.
  • got to WR which is just kind of blah outside of Carolina.
  • Plug in Michael Thomas.
  • Plug in Jerry Jeudy.
  • Win the money
San Francisco at

LA Rams

  • Kupp scores
  • Higbee scores
  • Brown 85 yards and a touchdown
  • Moestert and Deebo are the two San Francisco watch items off BYE and off Rams win.
  • I have nothing on this game
  • Who the fuck is healthy on the 49ers
Kansas City at

Tampa Bay

  • Mecole scores
  • Think Kelce has a great game.  9 for 95 and a touchdown
  • I know Tampa is good against TE.
  • CEH scores, not sure it’s via the ground.
  • Makes Mahomes a potential must start.
  • Antonio Brown scores – no doubt about it.
  • Long and hard looks at AB this week.
  • This game has some juice.
  • Ronald Jones runs one in from the 3 yard line.
  • Not a Godwin game.  Mike Evans catches one.  Brown goes off.
  • Antonio Brown.  He knows KC.
  • Brown and Kelce must starts in this game.
  • Outside of going Mahomes naked because he accounts for all their yards and points, I don’t see anything on the Chiefs side which is a must own.
  • Where is Sammy Watkins?!?!?
  • Hey it’s LevBell vs AB game.
  • Chiefs win, Tampa covers.
  • Tampa gets things corrected in their BYE.

 

PRIMETIME DOM STEVE
Chicago

at Green Bay

Seattle

at Philadelphia

 

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