And now we roll onto the evening slate tonight with 8 games on it as everyone’s playing today — which is how it should be.
WEATHER
Good weather everywhere tonight.
Have you ever gone to some fair or amusement park with your girl — or your kids — and there is one of those gimmicky games where you can win some big stuffed animal or prize by trying to throw a Basketball through the far hoop or you can just win the small basic prize by putting the Basketball through the hoop right in front of you.
Okay, so every single one of us will shoot at the hoop which is further away. We’ll miss. Then we’ll feel shame and we’ll hand over another $5 to the kid behind the counter and say, ok ok, i got this, lets go, spin the basketball, throw up a brick again, then bitch that the hoop is impossible to make. We’ll start to walk away and then turn back and push some schmuck 6 year old kid out of the way and tell him to wait his turn you got this shit. You hand over the money and you throw it up, bank it in and walk off saying who’s the man, that’s right. Shoootah!
The small hoop is Jacob deGrom tonight.
The big hoop is Gerrit Cole.
Take the fucking small hoop tonight.
Jacob deGrom
Enough said.
Zack Greinke
Two pitchers I really like at the same price point tonight are Greinke ($7400 vs Texas) and Ian Anderson ($7500 vs Boston). But really this isn’t even a discussion either because the safe and correct route is taking Greinke at home with the roof closed over Anderson against a waking up Red Sox team even though he looks like he could pitch sneaky well today.
INDIANS
C.Hernandez, A.Rasario, H.Ramirez, J.Ramirez
Overall tonight should lean towards the pitchers, so we are best off just attacking who we view as the worst pitcher on the slate rather than spreading out for a ton of offensive spots. Keegan Akin doesn’t have the stuff to get many whiffs and the Indians also will not whiff much. So with the ball being in play a ton and the Orioles bad bullpen on the back half we should get a good 7+ spot from the Injuns this evening.
BRAVES
Freeman, Albies, Riley, Almonte
Atlanta will be popular tonight but I’m not sure how many people will trust the bottom of their lineup and that’s what I like for stacking purposes in addition to Frederick Freeman. When we have aces on the mound, the value OF produce, so say hello to Abraham Almonte night…. And after I write that up, they release their lineup with him batting cleanup. Eat the chalk.
SNEAKY GAME
Twins vs Mariners … Two shaky arms on the hill and this game will go under the radar tonight but I like offense here on both sides.
CATCHER
- Ryan Jeffers
- Busta Busta Posey
- Kevan Smith
FIRST BASE
- Freddie Freeman
- Ty France
SECOND BASE
- Ozzie Albies
- Cesar Hernandez
THIRD BASE
- Rafael Devers
- Jose Ramirez
- Austin Riley
SHORTSTOP
- Francisco Lindor – Has finally started to consistently hit, buy him while he is cheap
- Amed Rosario
- Andrelton Simmons
OUTFIELD – Mt Rushmore
- JD Martinez
- Abraham Almonte
- Aaron Judge
- Kyle Tucker
OUTFIELD – Tier 2
- Mitch Haniger
- Alex Kiriloff
- Ronald Acuna Jr
The Dongers Club
- Abraham Almonte – OF – Braves – Chairman of the Dongers Club
- JD Martinez – OF – Red Sox
- Mitch Haniger – OF – Mariners
- Cesar Hernandez – 2B – Indians
- Freddie Freeman – 1B – Braves
- Francisco Lindor – SS – Mets
- Jose Ramirez – 3B – Indians
- Ryan Jeffers – C – Twins
- BONUS ……………………… Kyle Tucker – OF – Astros
BETS
- Twins/Mariners OVER 8.5
- Atlanta Braves -154 / Houston Astros -239 Parlay
LINEUP CONSTRUCTION THOUGHTS
THE HIGHEST CHALK STACK(S)
Astros, Braves, Giants
LOW(er) OWNED GOOD TEAMS
Mariners, Red Sox
LEVERAGE STACKS/PLAYS
Mets
DK PITCHERS
deGrom & Greinke
FD PITCHERS
Greinke – I want the hitters I want tonight.
CORE HITTERS
Abraham Almonte
Francisco Lindor
Freddie Freeman