DAILY-AMBUSH · July 21, 2021

The Dongers Club – July 21st – Early

Mid week split slates – things that in the middle of the summer are just right.  The afternoon starts early with a 12:10 start down in the Trop! between the Orioles and Rays, and has a total of six games on it including a 7-inning Padres/Braves game and yes the game in Coors as well.  Just be prepared for some interesting pitching recommendations as you scroll down.

 

WEATHER

All games play with no issues and it’s in the low 90’s out in Coors Field with a potential chalky SP there.

 

I can find about 2 to 3 holes in every pitcher on this early afternoon slate.  It is what it is …

Madison Bumgarner

Mad Bum went out to the IL right around the time they introduced the crack down on sticky stuff and came back after the All-Star Break with a really good first outing against the Cubs.  He gets another offense that he should be able to pitch safely against in the Pirates today.  We need pitchers that we trust to have the ability to not have long disaster innings and right now I trust MadBum to do that.

Chris Paddack

This is my wild card gut feeling today.  Right as everyone runs away from Paddack off another bad start, I will jump on the two pitch wonder in a 7-inning game vs the Braves.  I’ve never been one to like Paddack much however this is not a game where I see Atlanta coming out and scoring a ton.  Freeman has continued to hit even without Acuna, but the rest of the lineup is capable of laying an egg right now and while the data might point to Atlanta as a solid 7 inning offense I think we see them just snooze through the double header.

 

Also consider as SP2 options on DK

Max Kranick … Would use just in a game stack with Bumgarner

Michael Wacha vs Keegan Akin I like Wacha a good amount but there’s never much upside with him and Akin is just another close your eyes and pray type pick although LHP continue to do decent vs Tampa.

 

Short slates we focus on Games to target more so than Lineups to target, here are the top three today.

NY Mets vs Cincinnati

There isn’t much difference IMO between Cincinnati and Coors today, as both are going to play extremely favorable for offense and this one has better HR hitters in the lineups.  The Mets will be the more popular side against fastball thrower Jeff Hoffman however the team to ride is Cincinnati, the Winker through Naquin heart of the order all should have their way with Stroman and Tyler Naquin is a must play out of them all.

Seattle vs Colorado

Austin Gomber is one of the more talented pitchers and thus will be somewhat popular today but this isn’t a great spot for him coming off the IL and one rehab start.  He should be limited under 80 pitches today and we’ll get the Rockies bullpen in this one so Seattle is most definitely going to produce.  OF is deep early but Mitch Haniger is about as safe as they come from Seattle’s side.

The Rockies aren’t a team I am fond of just stacking and Chris Flexen has really proved me wrong this season.  He should pitch decent enough today but Brendan Rodgers is one of my CORE must owns from this game.

KC vs Milwaukee

This is massively far down the list compared to the other spots but if you want some one offs this would be the next game to pluck from in my mind.   Adames/Dozier are two one offs that I will have today here at weak positions on the slate.

CATCHER

  1. Tucker Barnhart … next question

FIRST BASE

  1. Ty France
  2. Joey Votto

SECOND BASE

If Rodgers could get a better spot in the lineup he would be the lock in here, but if he is down in the order it’s hard to ignore McNeil/India.  Really like all three a ton so don’t sweat where you go here.

  1. Brendan Rodgers
  2. Jeff McNeil
  3. Jonathan India

THIRD BASE

  1. Hunter Dozier
  2. Ryan McMahon
  3. Eduardo Escobar – $5800 on DK and if you aren’t spending on pitching you aren’t in a bad spot paying it for him as he’s really locked in and in another good spot.

SHORTSTOP

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OUTFIELD – Mt Rushmore

The Reds trio is basically free today.

  1. Tyler Naquin
  2. Nick Castellanos
  3. Jesse Winker
  4. Mitch Haniger

OUTFIELD – Tier 2

  1. Charlie Blackmon
  2. Dominic Smith
  3. Bryan Reynolds

OUTFIELD – Value

  1. Thomas Pham
  2. Avisail Garcia

 

The Dongers Club

  1. Hunter Dozier – 3B – Royals – Chairman of the Dongers Club
  2. Tyler Naquin – OF – Reds
  3. Mitch Haniger – OF – Mariners
  4. Dominic Smith – OF – Mets
  5. Tucker Barnhart – C – Reds
  6. Brendan Rodgers – 2B – Rockies
  7. Willy Adames – SS – Brewers
  8. Ty France – 1B – Mariners
  9. BONUS ………………… Eduardo Escobar – 3B – Diamondbacks

BETS

  • Baltimore/Tampa UNDER
  • Pittsburgh/Arizona UNDER

HR Parlay

  • Naquin / Haniger / Dozier

 

The Chalkiest Stacks

Rockies, Mets

Good Teams Getting Overlooked

Padres – 7 inning game hurts them for sure.

Best Leverage Play against Chalk

Royals, Mariners

Favorite DK Pitching Combinations

Daniels and Jack

FAVORITE HITTERS

Mitch Haniger

Tyler Naquin

Hunter Dozier

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