Full 15 game slate tonight. For those who are in the second round of the Dongers Club Championship you should have received your invite link. If you did not receive it then please DM me on Twitter (@steve_renner) or jump in the Discord and message me there.
WEATHER
Warm, muggy, but okay for baseball.
LOGAN WEBB
I really like Logan Webb tonight and could see a scenario where he matches Burnes as my favorite pitcher when it’s all said and done. Webb has gotten stronger of late and that’s to be expected since he missed a good portion of the season (April and June) and is basically at the rate where most other guys were back in June. At home in friendly San Francisco he’s sported a near 30% strikeout rate, a sub .300 xWOBA and a paltry 0.72 xISO. Blah, blah, stats this, stats that. The Mets lineup is not to be feared either, so with Webb we have our #1 today.
VLAD GUTIERREZ
Can you live with 6 innings, 6 strikeouts, 2 ER and a solo HR to Jayson Heyward? Because that’s what I project tonight for the other Vladdy G who is most certainly getting the win too. Because, let me recap how things have gone for the Cubs of late. I’ll tell you what happened last night, they just got their asses kicked. Alright, it was shameful and disgusting. They couldn’t do diddly poo, can’t pitch, can’t hit, couldn’t complete a pass, couldn’t run the ball, didn’t try to run the ball, I don’t know who the hell they think they are when they play like this. Everytime they came up to the plate they came up and hit home runs. It’s pitiful, absolute pitiful, the en, the coaching aught to be ashamed, the players aught to be ashamed. It was a disgraceful performance in my opinion. That sucked.
CORBIN BURNES
While I don’t think you have to have the best pitcher on the board tonight, there’s also no reason to not consider him against a RH heavy Cardinals lineup which is back in their pitcher friendly home of St. Louis and has not exactly dominated Burnes in previous outings.
FADES
Tyler Anderson: Don’t mess with an Italian Woman while she is cooking and don’t mess with Texas in August! No, seriously, I got no desire to pick on the Rangers right now who are sneaky as hell of late once again.
WILL PITCH BETTER THAN YOUR AVERAGE PERSON THINKS
- Nathan Eovaldi – Very close to being in consideration.
- Dylan Bundy
- Sandy Alcantara
- German Marquez
I will fully admit that I am likely out in left field compared to the “industry”, but I have no fucking problem doing that on a full slate Tuesday. I find myself actually wanting to put multiple lineups in this time of year because diversification matters more these days.
ASTROS
Altuve, Correa, Gurriel
Oh lord. Tall lefty Daniel Lynch takes the mound to try and tame the Astros in warm Kauffman with wind blowing out. I’m on them tonight and expect them to be that team which has a massive inning or three.
PHILLIES
Jean Segura, JT Realmuto, Bryce Harper, Andrew McCutchen
The Phillies are in a great spot tonight and I don’t think anyone will touch them. Arizona is the worst bullpen in the league and Caleb Smith is expected to start things off for the D’Backs — he has been bad in all splits and should not have any luck vs Philly tonight.
BREWERS
Escobar, Yelich, Adames, Wong
Milwaukee might not get much attention against Wainwright who has pitched well but I got a gut feeling we see Escobar, Yelich and Adames come up big for the Brewers as they try to put a fork in the end of the Cardinals season.
INDIANS/TWINS
Ramorez, Rosario, Ramos
Kepler, Rooker, Sano
Couple young and rough arms pitching in Eli and Bailey. Attack Eli Morgan with Kepler-ROoker-Polanco who are all very cheap and attack Ober with Ramirez, Ramos and Zimmer. If there is a game to just stack up tonight it’s the one out there in Target Field.
Spreads (Get it, not Stacks?)
- Cincinnati: Votto/Moose
- Oakland: Canha/Murphy
- Red Sox: Devers/Bogaerts
CATCHER
- Sean Murphy
- JT Realmuto
- Wilson Ramos
- Mitch Garver
FIRST BASE
- Joey Votto
- Aledmys Diaz – Good value
- Miguel Sano
SECOND BASE
- Jose Altuve
- Jean Segura
- Kolten Wong
THIRD BASE
- Eduardo Escobar … Has all the great metrics in a hitter vs pitcher match-up and will be extremely low owned at a position that is Coors dominated today.
- Mike Moustakas
- Jose Ramirez
- Ryan McMahon
SHORTSTOP
- Jorge Polanco
- Corey Seager
- Carlos Correa
OUTFIELD – MT RUSHMORE
- Yordan Alvarez
- Brent Rooker
- Nick Castellanos
- Mark Canha
OUTFIELD – Tier 2
- Max Kepler
- Michael Brantley
- Bryce Harper
OUTFIELD – Value
- Jason Heyward
- Andrew McCutchen
- Tyler Naquin
- Adam Frazier
The Dongers Club
- Eduardo Escobar – 3B – Brewers – Chairman of the Dongers Club
- Joey Votto – 1B – Reds
- Jose Altuve – 2B – Astros
- Corey Seager – SS – Dodgers
- JD Martinez – OF – Red Sox
- Brent Rookier – OF – Twins
- Sean Murphy – C – Athletics
- Bryce Harper – OF – Phillies
- BONUS ……………………………… Jose Ramirez – 3B – Indians
BETS
- Milwaukee ML
- Oakland ML
- Houston/KC Over 9.5
- Same Game Parlay:
- Will post in Discord, we hit a biggie last night.
MOST POPULAR TEAMS
- Padres
- Dodgers
- Rockies
GOOD TEAMS GETTING OVERLOOKED
- Boston – They are in a 7 inning game but the pricing on Verdugo/Xander/JD Martinez tonight is still extremely odd considering they are in a great park
- Milwaukee
FAVORITE DK PITCHERS
- Logan Webb and Vlad Guttierrez
FAVORITE DK HITTERS
- Eduardo Escobar
- Brent Rooker
- Jean Segura or Jose Altuve … Basically PHI or HOU stacks have 2B locked in from these guys.