WEATHER
No issues tonight and Texas has kept the roof open at least to start the game.
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Maybe tonight is a big trap spot as Saturday nights are a little weird, but this feels very straight forward and obvious on the pitching front today, not going to mess around and get very cute.
JUSTIN VERLANDER
He is back and he is fine and he will carve up the Mariners young hitters. Not gonna be a classic JV game quite this early in the year but the Mariners offense is not one that I see being able to give him fits.
JAMESON TAILLON
Taillon is very reliable against RHH and the Orioles are a heavy RHH lineup. No longer is Camden Yards considered the Coors Field of the East and definitely not on a night game in April. Ride some Camden Unders and ride the Yankees today.
That’s it, I am 100% on these two tonight.
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Fade: Julio Urias and Hunter Greene …. Urias was bad in spring and bad in his first start, while Greene was electric and is someone I would be cautious with in his second outing.
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BREWERS
McCutchen, Adames, Renfroe, Hiura
Yelich is getting the night off vs Matz, so that HR prop is dead but really we want the RHH against Matz early in this game. The Brewers fall into that category of teams who got swept off the slate last night by a wide margin and will come back tonight.
DODGERS
Freeman, Turner & Turner, Muncy
Some will say Freeman is going to struggle adjusting into his new spot but I say he still remains more likely to tear things up in LA than not and tonight feels like the right Freddie Free-way bomb spot. Yeah, Hunter Greene was electric vs the Braves but doing it twice in a row to start your career is highly unlikely. The veteran red-beard takes him deep too.
CUBS
Ortega, Suzuki, Happ, Schwindel
Some Coors exposure is highly advised, the Rockies pen has been good thus far. The rockies bullpen is not going to remain good.
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CATCHERS
- Willson Contreras
- Tyler Stephenson
FIRST BASE
- Freddie Freeman
- Paul Goldschmidt
SECOND BASE
- Ian Happ
- Brendan Rodgers
THIRD BASE
- Justin Turner
- Anthony Rendon
- Kris Bryant
SHORTSTOP
- Willy Adames
- Trea Turner
OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore
- Andrew McCutchen
- Joey Gallo – Must own
- Mike Trout
- Aaron Judge
OUTFIELD – Value
- Rafael Ortega
- Connor Joe
- Chas McCormick
- Cody Bellinger
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THE DONGERS CLUB
- Freddie Freeman – 1B – Dodgers – Chairman of the Dongers Club
- Willy Adames – SS – Brewers
- Joey Gallo – OF – Yankees
- Cody Bellinger – OF – Dodgers
- BONUS …………. Paul Goldschmidt – 1B – Cardinals
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CORE PLAYS
- Verlander – 100%
- Freeman
- Adames
- McCutchen
- Gallo
Expected Chalk Offense(s)
- Coors Field
- Angels/Rangers – Limit Exposure here
Best Low Owned Offense(s)
- Milwaukee
Best Leverage / Pivots
- Hearn and Syndergaard Leverage as SP in game stack.
- Cincinnati Reds … Julio Urias has been BAD between the spring and regular season. He’ll get better soon but could still be hittable tonight.
Favorite Bets
- Yankees/Orioles UNDER 9
- Angels/Rangers UNDER 9.5
- Cubs + Astros + Brewers ML Parlay
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