With a couple PPD games yesterday there are a couple double-headers today and on the MAIN slate DraftKings has included G2 of the Diamondbacks-Nationals double header while FanDuel has skipped it for their main slate. This is a HORRIFIC hitting slate tonight. There is just no way around it and if there are a bunch of 12-7 games then come back tomorrow and I’ll gladly eat my crow on that one but nobody should sugar coat anything for you as this is one of the most boring slates we will have all season long. WEATHER Better than yesterday with no PPD risk spots today at least but it’s just cold, cross windy and blech. [spacer height=”20px”] CORBIN BURNES A year ago there were times when we could look at the Pirates offense and argue that we don’t want to pick on them given that they are not one of the worst strikeout teams in the league. That was last year and this is also Corbin Burnes. JOE MUSGROVE At some point in this year there will be a Joe Musgrove home start where he burns people for one game and then goes back to his usual dominance in PETCO Park. That start should not be tonight. Despite having Joey Votto on their team the Reds project as a bottom 5 offense in the weighted top of the order rankings on the model and we know Musgrove is elite at home (2.92 ERA with 1.27 K/IP a year ago) JON GRAY My contrarian arm tonight is up on SafeCo (now T-Mobile) Park. A park which in recent years has shifted heavily towards the pitching and a Mariners lineup with limited SLG pop. Gray had a 28.9% CSW in his first start facing 16 batters vs a great Blue Jays lineup, and should be extended further today vs a younger and more favorable Mariners lineup. Expect a pitchers duel with Gray coming out above Robbie Ray. [spacer height=”20px”] Sleeper options to pitch well today – but not deliver enough in DFS – include … Carlos Hernandez (KC) Yusei Kikuchi (TOR) Tyler Gilbert (ARI) [spacer height=”20px”] I really don’t like any offenses tonight and see this being another slate like last Friday where you are best off going with a 2-2-2-1-1 or 3-1-1-1-1-1 type build. There is some logic tonight to also pairing Burnes + Musgrove and a 4 or 5 man anchor…...
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