DAILY-AMBUSH · May 18, 2022

The Dongers Club – May 18th – Early

We have three slates today which have quality Baseball games on them and your mileage will vary on whether or not specific sites have good contests for you to play them on.

We start things off with five games on both DraftKings and FanDuel for Afternoon Synchronicity which includes two NL West Divisional games and three other non interleague games.

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WEATHER

No issues at all to worry about and I expect the roof in Milwaukee will be closed with rain in the area there.

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Despite only five games, this early slate is loaded with quality arms on it.

CORBIN BURNES

A good pitching re-match between Burnes and Fried will take center stage in Milwaukee to start things off.  Burnes is just a model of consistency going 6+ with 7+ strikeouts in each of his last three games.  Included in that was a battle with these same cold Braves, who likely are without Acuna today after he played last night and Burnesy more than anyone else likely has a shot at double digit strikeouts today.

DREW RASMUSSEN

Rasmussen is better than E-Rod and Detroit has less top of the lineup threats than Tampa.  All things equal my lean is Rasmussen but he is also the more popular one and on a short slate this is a tough 1v1 call to make for me.  In the end, I would much rather be on Assmussen than E-Fraud though, but for a second lineup pivot over to E-Fraud.

EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ

I see very little difference between the two arms facing it off at the free snacks stand in Costco Warehouse Field down in Tampa.  Both opponents are very weak lineups and the Rays specifically are hitting just .164 as a team over the last 10 days.

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GIANTS

It is what it is folks.  The Giants are owning the Rockies as usual and the Giants remain free on DK.

  • Evan Longoria
  • Austin Slater – $3400 + the need to secure Burnes and hey look, 99% ownership.  Who is that 1% bozo?  Not me.
  • Wilmer Flores – I don’t always play King Donkey Wilmer Flores vs a LHP but when I do, it’s a day game on the road.
  • Joey Bart

DODGERS

As you can tell, the chalk on this slate is pretty clear and we’re going to have to sweat out things today because the obvious looks good.  Dodgers are awaken and a day game in L.A. usually plays well for offense.

  • Trea Turner
  • Max Muncy
  • Will Smith

ATHLETICS

Nobody will have Oakland, but guess how many points Sonny Gray will get you today?

Muppets Score Card GIF | Gfycat

  • Tony Kemp
  • Ramon Laureano
  • Seth Brown

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CATCHER

  1. Daulton Varsho
  2. Joey Bart
  3. Victor Caratini

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FIRST BASE

  1. Christian Walker … Has taken himself and put himself on the Mt. Rushmore of Batters in Ballparks in a flury.
  2. Wilmer Flores

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SECOND BASE

  1. Max Muncy
  2. Tony Kemp

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THIRD BASE

  1. Evan Longoria

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SHORTSTOP

  1. Trea Turner
  2. Carlos Correa … Shady’s back…. Tell a friend.
  3. Elvis Andrus … Value Option

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OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore

  1. Austin Slater
  2. Darin Ruf
  3. Randal Grichuk
  4. Pavin Smith

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OUTFIELD – Value

  1. Seth Brown
  2. Yonathan Daza
  3. Ramon Laureano
  4. Alek Thomas … Would be nice to see him hit higher eventually

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  1. Evan Longoria – 3B – Giants – Chairman of The Dongers Club
  2. Max Muncy – 2B – Dodgers
  3. Pavin Smith – OF – Diamondbacks – 1st Inning Homer off Walker
  4. Ramon Laureano – OF – Athletics

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GAME THEORIES / EXPECTATIONS

This is an important thing to evaluate on the short slates

Atlanta vs Milwaukee … Brewers win with Fried giving up too many walks and base runners to merit using him.

Detroit vs Tampa … Ugly snoozefest game or the Tigers put up 50 runs and we all just go outside and enjoy the nicer weather around the country very early today.

SF vs Colorado … Giants continue to rake but that one Rockies hitter that you feel is a must own?  Play him.  SF Wins 9-3

Arizona vs LA Dodgers … Not sure who wins, wouldn’t be shocked to see Arizona Ambush Buehler early in this game, like their top of the order

Minnesota vs Oakland … Gray’s 2nd start vs Oakland this time in Oakland.  Gimme the A’s to win another.

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Core Plays

SP Options

  • Corbin Burnes & DET/Tampa Game.  I am not touching any other SP’s.

Here are your cores from the top teams

  • SF:  Slater/Longoria, Flores
  • ARI/LAD:   Smith, Muncy/Turner

Contrarian

  • OAK:   Laureano, Kemp, Lowrie

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Expected Chalk

  • SF Giants
  • LA Dodgers
  • Minnesota Twins

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Best Low Owned Offense(s) / Pitchers

  • Oakland Athletics
  • Arizona Diamondbacks

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Favorite Bets

  • DET/Tampa Under 7
  • Minnesota/Oakland OVER 7
  • Arizona/LA Dodgers OVER 8.5

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