DAILY-AMBUSH · May 4, 2022

The Dongers Club – May 4th

WEATHER

Storms in three spots

Twins at Orioles … Should play

Angels at Red Sox … Could be a PPD risk

Nationals at Rockies … It will be chilly with the wind blowing in here as well.

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LUCAS GIOLITO

Giolito went 6 strong facing 24 batters last weekend so we’re good to go with him facing a Cubs team which started off well but has really cooled off.  They’re hitting sub .200 over their last 10 days and it will be pitching favorable conditions tonight in Wrigley.

FREDDY PERALTA

At some point the Reds will get hot and sustain it for a whole 9 innings but it aint gonna come vs Freddy P.  Gas, gas and more gas from Peralta tonight.

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AUSTIN GOMBER

This is another night where I am hard set on two guys at the top but there are 3-4 considerable options after them.  Austin Gomber showed flsahes a year ago and struggled out the gate before two good road outings where he struck out 14, and gave up 2 ER through 12 innings.  Even though he is back at home in Coors Field I believe he will keep that recent strong form going and his best pitch right now is his Slider which most Nationals are very bad against.  Gomber has GPP winning upside when you consider the leverage he also brings against cheap Nationals.

Other contrarian arms – Garrett Whitlock, Kyle Hendricks

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GIANTS/DODGERS

Watching Mookies AB lately and I just get the sense that his slow start is going to come to a close in a flash with a big game and the environment in L.A. is the warmest of any on the slate tonight in the second marquee game of the night.

  • Mookie Betts
  • Trea Turner
  • Justin Turner

BREWERS

Vlad Gutierrez is at best a 4th starter and he cannot strike anyone out and has not looked very good this season.  It’s only a matter of time until the Reds send him down to go do something else with his life at AAA and a Milwaukee 5 run start to this game is probably not going to help matters.

  • Kolten Wong
  • Willy Adames
  • Christian Yelich
  • Rowdy Tellez

ORIOLES

This one is for our late dear friend Carmen Nepa III.  No, he wasn’t an Orioles fan but boy did he sweat whenever Dylan Bundy was on a slate wondering if I would be recommending him.  It was fun, and I can only imagine that Carmen will be looking down and blowing a little wind out to right field tonight for Cedric Mullins to start off Bundy’s return to Camden in style.

  • Cedric Mullins
  • Anthony Santander

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CATCHER

  1. Will Smith
  2. Robinson Chirinos
  3. Tyler Heineman

FIRST BASE

The power which Rowdy Tellez brings against a SP who cannot get strikeouts is a clear advantage for Tellez tonight.

  1. Rowdy Tellez
  2. Jared Walsh

SECOND BASE

  1. Kolten Wong
  2. Brendan Rodgers

THIRD BASE

  1. DJ LeMahieu
  2. Wilmer Flores

SHORTSTOP

I would not be shocked if all 3 here homered tonight, but the Jays have to make a statement and win tonights game.  Look for an aggressive start from Bichette.

  1. Bo Bichette
  2. Carlos Correa
  3. Willy Adames

OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore

  1. Cedric Mullins
  2. Mookie Betts
  3. Aaron Judge
  4. Max Kepler

OUTFIELD – Tier 2

  1. Christian Yelich
  2. Byron Buxton
  3. Juan Soto

OUTFIELD – Value

  1. Enrique Hernandez
  2. Lorenzo Cain
  3. Trey Mancini
  4. Trevor Larnach

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  1. Cedric Mullins – OF – Orioles – Chairman of The Dongers Club
  2. Bo Bichette – SS – Blue Jays
  3. Rowdy Tellez – 1B – Brewers
  4. Will Smith – C – Dodgers
  5. Kolten Wong – 2B – Brewers

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Core Plays

  • Lucas Giolito
  • Rowdy Tellez
  • Bo Bichette
  • Cedric Mullins

Expected Chalk

  • Rockies, Yankees, Nationals, Brewers

Best Low Owned Offense(s) / Pitchers

  • LA Dodgers
  • Austin Gomber – Leverage

Favorite Bets

  • Giants/Dodgers OVER
  • Nationals/Rockes UNDER 10.5
  • White Sox + Blue Jays Parlay

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