Welcome to the Friday edition of what has been a nice week in The Dongers Club. Tonight was a 13 game slate but it’s already dropping down to fewer games due to a ton of rain in the East which is going to continue through most of the weekend. [spacer height=”20px”] WEATHER Texas-NY Yankees: Game PPD NY Mets-Philadelphia: Game PPD Kansas City-Baltimore: She’s gone Toronto-Cleveland: She’s gone too ChiSox-BoSox: Should play Everything else looks fine with the roof being open in Chase Field, closed in Seattle and TBD in Houston. [spacer height=”20px”] The largest impact that the massive amount of rain is going to cause on this slate is in the pitching department, where we once had Gerrit Cole, Max Scherzer, Kevin Gausman and Shane Bieber potentially on the slate and then what was a deep pitching slate becomes a very mediocre one. LOGAN GILBERT In his second year Gilbert is taking the next step which the Mariners had hoped for to potentially being their future #1. Through his first five starts he has gone 5+ IP in each start, allowed a total of 2 ER and has posted DK Scores 20 or greater each outing. Including on April 26th when he went into Tampa and struck out 7 Rays with 3 walks on 104 pitches. He has gone 100+ in the Pitch Count department in his last two, so there is some increased risk coming as he carries a higher workload than ever before in his big league career, but for tonight I don’t see any major holes and his slider should get 6+ strikeouts out of this Rays lineup. SANDY ALCANTARA While Yu Darvish will be the chalky SP in this game, I see no reason to pay 9.4k for Darvish when Sandy at 7.7k is going to come very close to not only matching him but if the Marlins can steal a win for Sandy then he can beat our Yu. This is a great example of remembering how everyone viewed a player during the off-season and specifically with a pitcher jumping on them after a start which didn’t go as planned. San Diego is a good team yes, but does not hit as well at home and we should have ourselves a fun little 2-1 pitchers duel tonight. YU DARVISH The rain in other spots is going to bring Darvish into the “fine, just take him”…...
Keep reading — and get the full war room.
The rest of this breakdown is for members. A subscription unlocks the entire Daily Ambush platform:
- Command Center — your entire slate on one screen
- Tier-graded stacks (A/B/C) with heatmap and pair analysis
- Ambush Intel — named AI agents tracking live P/L, every sport
- Batter vs. pitcher pitch arsenals, xwOBA splits, BvP history
- Lineup optimizer with pro stack rules and exposure controls
- SIM Matrix — Monte Carlo simulation engine
