I don’t want to jinx anything but I think the real 2022 MLB season is arriving this week. Pitching is going to get harder, bullpens are going to get worse and offense is going to go up. That said, I did a full breakdown on how we need to adjust our measurement of hitting in the new dead ball era that you should go read and I think that it will continue to hold true. But I cannot overlook three definitive things which are going to influence DFS for the next 3+ weeks or so. Bullpens have been reduced. Teams have to trim down their rosters from the expanded extra limits in the first month. Hitters are getting into their rythym. They have enough regular season + spring training PA to finally be in a good routine. Weather is much better. [spacer height=”20px”] WEATHER Weather should finally be nice this week and it’s about damn time. All games play! [spacer height=”20px”] JULIO URIAS Gimme all the Julio Urias today. His recent game log chart has been trending towards a massive dominance game which he should be able to do against the Pirates. This is the first game on the slate and I am very pleased that DraftKings did the right thing including this spot today. Look for Dave Roberts to trust him to go deep here as well to buy another rest night for the bullpen and with how efficient he has been + the Pirates being his opponent, a 30 spot is not out of the question. AUSTIN GOMBER The entire world will rush to Carlos Rodon today. That’s nice. Yeah, Rodon vs the Rockies outside of Coors might feel like a no brainer spot but Austin Gomber is pitching extremely well and the weather/park in this situation is going to benefit both sides today. Gomber has managed to only walk 2 batters over his last 18+ IP and the park shift will help reduce any chance of a HR off him as well. Load up on the Gomber as a contrarian Monday pivot off Rodon on DK. MACKENZIE GORE The Cubs are ice cold and Gore has shown he feels very comfortable pitching in PETCO Park. Chicago played the Sunday night game and then had a long trip out to San Diego where they bring in a 30% strikeout rate over the last 10 games and a .173…...
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