The Angels and Mariners are playing a double-header today but game 1 is on the Afternoon slate for both DraftKings and FanDuel. Yes, yes, we have Site Synchronicity today.
WEATHER
The story with weather is Wind and not Temperature today but Wrigley Field is on the Super Early Turbo slate so we don’t need to sweat the wind too much in these games.
Tampa at Baltimore – The Wall out in left field is blowing the wind in heavily
San Fran at Pittsburgh – Wind boost for LHH but there are two LHP on the mound here, so its kind of negated
Milwaukee at Cincy – This one could benefit the most from wind for offense, out to right.
Texas at Detroit – Out to right
Miami at NY Mets – In heavily
Philly at Washington – In here too
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JUSTIN VERLANDER
I don’t see how Verlander wont get through 7 innings today and that likely results in a 7 strike out performance as well. He and Nola will both be fine which kinda makes deciding on pitching here pointless because it’s a good pitching slate but the two studs up top will get over 20 on DK and Verlander being at home should be the preferred option, although it’s very close.
7 Innings, 2 ER, 7 strikeouts for Verlander
KYLE BRADISH
I think Bradish should be a sub 7k pitcher but it kinda stinks that he will be easy chalk today on DraftKings against a bad Tampa offense. Bradish is dominating LHB and should continue to do that as he has a 40% whiff rate overall on his slider & 5 of the Rays lefties have K% over 25% on RHP sliders. With heavy winds and cool temps in Baltimore Bradish should easily hit value on both sites.
5 1/3 IP, 8 strikeouts and 1 ER allowed for Bradish in a solid outing for the young arm.
ALEX WOOD
Wood is boring but consistent. He gets a lot of ground balls (51%), but only faces roughly 21.5 batters per game. His ceiling isnt going to blow your socks off or anything like that, but he’s consistent and is facing a lineup that isn’t doing much vs LHP right now in the Pirates.
6 IP, 5 strikeouts and 4 BB+Hits for Wood today
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Also expect to pitch well:
Aaron Nola, Patrick Sandoval, Jose Quintana
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Brewers vs Reds
Yelich, Tellez, Narvaez, Adames
I am focused on the game in Great American Smallpark with good wind conditions here and a battle between Castanza and Asscraft. Two guys who have not shown much ability to generate a ton of whiffs and should get beaten up badly today.
There is no reason in my mind to not have Yelich & Tellez from Milwaukee. In fact, if you don’t wan to use them, then just don’t play in my opinion.
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ASTROS
Alvarez, Bregman, Altuve
Johnny Cueto has been a bright spot for the White Sox this season but I can’t see him continuing to work his magic against a tough Astros lineup. Their achilies heel is that the non Alvarez/Brantley guys have been awful against Change-Ups but really Cueto is boom or bust with his Change this year, so I think Houston can jump on him and make for some long innings.
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Today’s BOOST+ Players
Pete Alonso, Yandy Diaz, Salvador Perez, Randy Arozarena, Nathaniel Lowe, Starling Marte, Javy Baez
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CATCHER
- Omar Narvaez
- Salvador Perez … Very streaky hitter who had a great night at the dish last night.
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FIRST BASE
- Rowdy Tellez
- Seth Brown
- Pete Alonso
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SECOND BASE
- Jazz Chisholm Jr
- Luis Urias
- Jose Altuve
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THIRD BASE
- Alex Bregman
- Brandon Drury
- Jace Peterson
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SHORTSTOP
- Corey Seager
- Willy Adames
- Javier Baez
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OUTFIELD – MT RUSHMORE
- Christian Yelich
- Yordan Alvarez
- Mike Trout
- Adolis Garcia
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OUTFIELD – Tier 2
- Kyle Schwarber
- Michael Brantley
- Kyle Tucker
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OUTFIELD – Value
- Riley Greene – Making DEBUT for Tigers today
- Kevin Kiermaier
- Austin Slater
- Andrew McCutchen
- Hunter Renfroe
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The Dongers Club
- Christian Yelich – OF – Milwaukee Brewers – Chairman of The Dongers Club
- Corey Seager – SS – Rangers
- Rowdy Tellez – 1B – Brewers
- Mike Trout – OF – Angels
- Jazz Chisholm Jr – 2B – Marlins
- Adolis Garcia – OF – Rangers
- Salvador Perez – C – Royals
- Jace Peterson – 3B – Brewers
- BONUS ……………… Kyle Schwarber – OF – Phillies
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BETTING PLAYS
Brewers ML
Brewers/Reds OVER 9
Rays/Orioles UNDER 8
Phillies/Nationals UNDER 8.5
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Brewers vs Reds
ASTROS