Good morning, time to wake up and play some MLB DFS/Betting action on this comfortable Summer Sunday. Continuing with the trend in 2022 FanDuel has acquired off waivers the Texas and Colorado home games from DraftKings as they’ve included them into an 11 game main slate today and DraftKings has not. The Sunday slate also once again now locks at 1:35 PM as MLB has this early 11 am game which is going to fight the trend of overs on those games because neither team is likely gonna score 5 runs in my mind. [spacer height=”20px”] WEATHER All games should get in today. Warm out in Coors for those of you on FanDuel as I expect that game to finally have some offense in it once again after back to back extra inning games which were low scoring. [spacer height=”20px”] You are going to wind up paying for pitching on DraftKings today because you literally have no choice. The cheapest pitchers are Zach Plesac at $5,000, Patrick Corbin at $5,200, Dean Kremer at $5,500, Braxton Garrett at $6,200 and then Ryan Yarbrough at $6,800. Not a lot of options honestly here as a ton of guys are in the 7k-9k range. Heck, even Jake Junis is $8,500. KEVIN GAUSMAN I’m normally one to like the over in Blue Jays weekend games, but not today. I think we get a quiet game after some higher scoring games to start this series and Gausman should be able to rack up strike outs off the 4-9 hitters in the Twins lineup. Yes, the Twins have HR upside (mostly Buxton who is resting today) as they’ve shown all series but Gausman is likely going to have 8 strikeouts when this game is over so he will accrue enough damage to justify him — even if the model doesn’t love him today. The model had him around 7th or so on SP and with the lineup posted he is now #1. Hooray model automation! LUCAS GIOLITO Everything with Giolito is always about hitting his spots. But this Tampa lineup is so cold that I think if he misses his spots slightly he can still get away with things and there is tremendous upside vs the Wander Franco-less Rays. The only Rays projected hitters with an ISO above .150 vs Sliders are Taylor Walls and Isaac Paredes. Neither of which should scare us off Giolito. [spacer…...
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