CFB DFS Tailgate: Oct 22nd (Night)

Pirates, Lions, Knights, Wildcats, Horned Frogs, Cocks.  This night slate has it all, just like that Adult Hallowen party you are going to be at while these games are going on…

Wait…  I don’t know what kind of party you people go too.

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TOP GAMES

• UCF at East Carolina
• Kansas State at TCU
• Pittsburgh at Louisville

MID RANGE/SNEAKY GAMES

• Texas A&M at South Carolina
• Colorado at Oregon State
• Mississippi State at Alabama

BLAH GAMES

• Minnesota at Penn State
• Boise State at Air Force

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Favorite Game Stack

Kansas State at TCU (-3.5)

This is a dangerous spot for TCU, who has flaws on defense and should have a hard time stopping both Adrian Martinez and Deuce Vaughn.

• QB – Adrian Martinez (KST)
• RB – Deuce Vaughn (KST)
• QB – Max Duggan (TCU)
• WR – Quentin Johnston (TCU)

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Second Tier Top Games

UCF (-5) at East Carolina

Central Florida wins this game by 12, and probably drops a 40 burger on the Pirates in doing such.  Take the over and take the Knights, but consider ECU to get some easy stats here too

• QB – John Rhys Plumlee (UCF)
• WR – Ryan O’Keefe (UCF)
• WR – Isaiah Winstead (ECU)

Pittsburgh at Louisville (-2.5)

• QB – Kedon Slovis (PITT)
• WR – Jared Wayne (PITT)
• QB – Malik Cunningham (Louisville)

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MY GUYS

John Rhys Plumlee – UCF – $8,400

UCF should boat race the Pirates as I like to say and the heavy chalk QB here is of course Rhys Witherspoon and there’s just no reason to be fading that kind of talent tonight.

Malik Cunningham – Louisville – $7,400

If we get a good showing from Pittsburgh then Cunningham’s possessions should matter more which I think they will.

Adrian Martinez – Kansas State – $8,300

This is a classic A or B option.  Its Adrian Martinez or Deuce Vaughn who has a 2 TD night rushing for K State.

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MY GUYS

Deuce Vaughn – Kansas State – $7,200

I lean him over Martinez, barely.

MarShawn Lloyd – South Carolina – $6,000

Upset alert tonight as the Cocks are a slight home dog and Lloyd is getting 5.79 YPC and drawing a favorable matchup against a team allowing almost 200 yards per game on the ground

Devon Achane – Texas A&M – $5,600

Just too cheap for the workshare that he should have.

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MY GUYS

Ryan O’Keefe – UCF – $7,300

He’s gonna drop a 30, dont fade.

Quentin Johnston – TCU – $7,000

Back to my boy this week, this is going to be a big lights on this game and if Kansas State is moving it as easy as I think on TCU then Johnston will get an increase in targets for TCU

Jared Wayne – Pittsburgh – $5,100

Im a little shocked to see Wayne grading this well but if you ride Cunningham then Wayne is the automatic run it back option on the Panther side.

Isaiah Winstead – ECU – $7,300

Could also consider any of CJ Johnson and Ryan Jones here as well.  I believe ECU is trailing most of the game.

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WILD CARD WR

TreShaun Harrison – Oregon State – $6,800

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VALUE

Daniel Arias – Colorado – $4,000

Marshon Ford – Louisville – $3,900

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RANKING THE POSITION DEPTH

Very even tonight, but like the early slate kind of hard to not roll with 2 QB.

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CORE BUILD

QB1 – J.R Plumlee

RB1 – Deuce Vaughn

RB2 – MarShawn Loyd

WR1 – Ryan O’Keefe

FLEX – Devon Achane

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BETS

UCF -5.5

Kansas State +3.5  … That hook is huge

South Carolina ML