A four game Friday night slate
Nebraska at Rutgers (OU: 49)
Houston at Memphis (OU: 57.5)
Colorado State at Nevada (OU: 44)
UNLV at San Jose State (OU: 52.5)
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Nebraska at Rutgers
I prefer this game among the two early ones over the Houston vs Memphis one. Sure, the total looks lower and the other has flash with Houston vs Memphis, but with Nebraska being such a trainwreck all season I think they just play loose and up tempo
- QB – Casey Thompson (NEB)
- WR – Trey Palmer (NEB)
- RB – Kyle Monangai (RUT)
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UNLV at San Jose State
The Rebels are gonna play better after a really slow start in their last game. Expect this one to be competitive throughout
- RB – Aidan Robbins (UNLV)
- QB – Chevan Cordeiro (SJSU)
- WR – Justin Lockhart (SJSU)
- WR – Elijah Cooks (SJSU)
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MY GUYS
Chevan Cordeiro – San Jose State – $7000
Cordeiro should throw three touchdowns, and with UNLV being a team I think can cover this spot we should see him having to throw more late in the game as well.
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Also worth using:
Casey Thompson – Rutgers – $6,700
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MY GUYS
Aidan Robbins – UNLV – $7300
Welcome to the Aidan Robbins show. He should get it 20+ times as long as they stay close. Not sure where his full ownership falls but to me he is the top CORE must own play today.
Toa Taua – Nevada – $6400
The only game in which Taua has not found paydir was when Nevada got shutout. He’s their main TD producing machine and CSU is middle of the pack in rush defense at best.
Kyle Monangai – Rutgers – $4800
Too cheap against a bad rushing defense. Take the home value RB even though he will be in a split situation.
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This slate is headlined with Nathaniel Dell and in case you haven’t gotten the sense yet I am fading the Houston passing attack in a game I believe will slow down. Yes, Dell is likely to hit 15+ fantasy points, but WR is deep tonight.
MY GUYS
Justin Lockhart – San Jose State – $5,700
I expect Cordiero to throw 3 touchdowns this week, which means out of Lockhart, Cooks and Ross we’ll need at least one if not two of them.
Trey Palmer – Nebraska – $6,900
Any chance Nebraska has in this game is going to come from Palmer in the air. It’s not the best match-up but I generally prefer WR on the road when in doubt.
Jamaal Bell – Nevada – $5,600
Not much to get excited about with this game, but Bell has had games where he gets heavy targets and the Rams are allowing 70% completion rate on the season. Good spot to pick on to get a little 3x upside return.
Troy Horton – Colorado State – $6,200
This is me throwing a bone to my model. I don’t love the game but the model loves Horton.
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VALUE
Charles Ross – SJ St – 4400
KeSean Carter – Houston – 3700
Senika McKie – UNLV – 3400
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RANKING THE POSITION DEPTH
- WR
- QB
- RB
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CORE BUILD
QB – Cordeiro
RB – Robbins
WR – Lockhart
WR – Palmer
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BETS
Nebraska/Rutgers OVER 50.5
UNLV +7
UNLV/San Jose State OVER 52
Memphis -2.5