A short two game MACtion Tuesday evening slate tonight, so who wants to play some heavy chalk DFS and maybe make some money with some bets? You? Me? Absolutely, what else are we gonna do on this fine Tuesday in November.
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Ball State at Miami (OH)
Key Injury to monitor: Carson Steele (Ball St)
The winner of this game will be Bowl eligible and the loser will not. It’s about the entirety of the value of watching this game which I do think stays close to the vest on both sides with the under being in play, but more specifically the first half under being my favorite bet.
For DFS purposes, I back Ball State to win the game assuming Carson Steele suits up and if he does he will get in the box. But he is definitely a question mark as he had concussion symptoms a week ago. If he is unable to go then Will Jones or Vaughn Pemberton would likely be the fill ins. It’s not exactly a dominant rushing spot either way but I think there’s lots of reason to take the Ball State ground game
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Bowling Green at Ohio
Key Injury to monitor: Kurtis Rourke (OHIO). If he sits then this game is just a mess, but I would be shocked if he sits in a game they need to win.
This one is a larger spread but I expect Bowling Green to play lose in an attempt to upset Ohio and prevent them from clinching a spot in the MAC title game. Matt McDonald has really latched on with Odieu Hilliare recently as his main weapon but Tyrone Broden and Christian Sims are equally high target options who are fairly cheap for DFS purposes.
Ohio won’t struggle themselves in the passing game and Kurtis Rourke has 4 rushing TD on the season so he could add an extra with that tonight and would be a must own for DFS purposes if he does.
Expect points in this one and Bowling Green to cover the 6.5
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DFS Picks
Quarterbacks
The good news is McDonald is locked in as our QB tonight. The next choice is just if Rourke plays in the Super Flex spot or not
- Matt McDonald – BGSU – $7,600
- Kurtis Rourke – Ohio – $8,300
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Running Backs
Everything hinges on injury status here. If Rourke is not going for Ohio then Sieh Bangura ($7,000) becomes a must own for Ohio. If Carson Steele sits for Ball State then rolling the dice on one of their backups who are cheap is very logical for me.
- Carson Steele – Ball St – $8,300
- Tyre Shelton – Miami – $3,900
- Sieh Bangura – Ohio – $7,000
- Jaison Patterson – BGSU – $4,400
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Wide Receivers
Two guys in the Ball State/Miami game are high target options which I am not heavy on today. They are Jayshon Jackson and Mac Hippenhammer. The nice thing about a two game slate is you cannot over think things because you ride the game script you believe and ignore ownership. My script has BGSU/Ohio being the higher scoring game with Bowling Green getting a strong passing game. So two Falcons is a must.
- Sam Wiglusz – Ohio – $6,900
- Odieu Hillare – BGSU – $5,700
- Tyrone Broden – BGSU – $4,800
- YoHeinz Tyler – Ball St – $5,000
- James Bostic – Ohio – $4,900
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FLEX: Should be a WR or player from BGSU/OHIO
S-FLEX: Should be a QB
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BETS
Ball State / Miami 1st Half UNDER 21.5
Bowling Green +6.5