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NBA DFS DROPPIN DIMES-Friday, December 30th

A solid week for NBA games where the number of games has been stretched out through the week instead of the 3-4 games on Tuesdays and Thursdays.  A nice 9-game slate tonight starting at 7 PM EST.

There are two teams that will be short-handed tonight due to the team’s clearing benches on Wednesday night. The Orlando Magic will have 8 players tonight and we should see the starters getting 35 plus minutes each or at least Fultz, F. Wagner, Banchero and Bol Bol. Terrance Ross should see a significant boost in minutes. The other team is the Detroit Pistons who will be without Hayes and Diallo along with a few other players due to injuries.

 

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Player news: IF/Then

  • If Jusif Nurkic is in play- if out then Drew Eubanks

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NBA Dashboard is also another good source to help build lineups. Check it out here –DailyAmbush: NBA Dashboard

The Dashboard will provide projections, player ratings along with matchup and other statistics for both Ambush and me (under FB Model). The dashboard feeds the optimizer allowing users to create lineups using (Avg FPs, Ratings, FB Projections, FB Ratings, projected ownership and GPP score). This is a good tool to utilize, and it gives the user a lot of ways to mix it up.

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(Note: All pricing and fantasy points are based on DraftKings but can be used for all sites.)

Always keep an eye on the status of players before lock, especially now. There are still a decent number of players with questionable tags.
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**FPs= Fantasy Points, FPPM= Fantasy Points Per Minutes, STOCKS (Steals plus blocks).
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CORE

  • Alec Burks
  • Terrence Ross
  • Saddiq Bey
  • Bol Bol

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LOGIC: 

Alec Burks is coming off his best game of the season just missing 50 FPs. This is not the main reason why I am targeting him tonight. The Pistons will be without Hayes, and this will allow Burks to pick up more minutes. Burks is playing extremely well as of late with two 30 plus FPs games in the last two. He is a high usage player when on the floor taking a ton of shots and also gets a few steals. The Bulls have been a team to target this year, especially against guards as they rank 26th.

Terrance Ross is a free square tonight and hard to pass up at his price of $3100. The Magic are extremely short-handed and will need him on the floor for at least 25-30 minutes tonight if not more. One area to target this Wizards with is wings and this would give Ross the opportunity to take more shots. This is what Ross does best is score. Projected as one of the better value plays tonight coming in with 20 FP projections, but I could see a ceiling of over 30.

Saddiq Bey was the Dimes Play on Wednesday night, and he came in under 10% and went off for 50 FP for 13.5. I am not chasing that game but going with him again tonight due to the Pistons down a few players and the fact that he has massive upside when given minutes. He does it all when on the floor and is not afraid to shoot. To top it off, the Pistons get the Bulls who have been horrible on defense this year and a team I have been targeting.

Bol Bol should see close to 40 minutes tonight as the Magic are down players leaving them with 8. Has shown close to 50 FPs upside this year.

Leaving the center spot open. I am very high on Jusuf Nurkic and he was going to be a core play, but he was just downgraded to questionable- which usually does not fare well. If he sits out, then I would be high on Drew Eubanks. The news will most likely not come in until after lock. Also, Jerami Grant would pick up some of the usage- points and rebounds if Nurkic is out. There will be a lot of shots in this game and the opportunity for a big rebound game from the center. The Warriors rank 26th against opposing centers.

 

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  • Can easily add Dimes play to lineup and move Bol Bol to center. If news comes in for Nurkic prior to lock then i would use him to Eubanks in my core.

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(V) Value Play

Additional Plays to Consider

PG SG SF PF C
Damian Lillard

De’Aaron Fox

Markelle Fultz

Bone Hyland (V)- if Murray is out

Grayson Allen (V)

Josh Hart

Malik Monk

Klay Thompson

DeMar DeRozan

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

Laurri Markkanen

Zion Williamson

Giannis Antetokounmpo

Rui Hachimura (V)

Pascal Siakam

Domantas Sabonis

Nikola Jokic

Naz Reid (V)

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Dimes Play

Admiral Schofield- coming in at only 3K tonight and the fact that the Magic have only 8 players, Schofield should see solid minutes. This is an excellent matchup as the Wizards are ranked 29th against opposing centers where Scofield should see some time tonight. 30 FPs ceiling and looking for at least 20 FPs from him tonight.

 

**Options to help build lineups- Take these core plays and enter into optimizer with your favorite settings (rating, FBrating, FBprojections, ownership or ratings). OR use this article to help you build a lineup with some of your favorite plays. The Dashboard is also a +great tool to help build lineups- It contains a good variety of stats and projections from multiple sources.

Good Luck!