Today’s Bowl Games
- ReliaQuest Bowl – Illinois vs Mississippi State
- Cotton Bowl: Tulane vs USC
- Citrus Bowl: LSU vs Purdue
- Rose Bowl: Penn State vs UTAH
No weather issues.
Illinois vs Mississippi State (-3), over/under: 46
Note: There was an NFL game played here yesterday so not sure how good the field surface is going to be.
Win one for Mike Leach, no? I mean Illinois basically rode Chase Brown all season long and he is out today, so while htere is value in Reggie Love filling in behind a good OL and facing a bad rush defense, I don’t know that it’s enough for me to not bet the Bulldogs -3.
The game is nowhere near the other three for stacking on paper but I do smell a great performance from Will Rodgers. We just gotta temper expectations against a good Illinois defense.
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LSU (-15) vs Purdue, over/under: 54.5
LSU is very thin. The -15 line on this game is a mistake that is simply based upon Jayden Daniels playing for LSU while O’Connell, JOnes and Durham are all out for Purdue. That said, I do think LSU’s coaching staff is more in line to win this game if they so desire. It smells like a dud to me.
Half of LSU WR are gone here as well. We expect Malik Nabers and Brian Thomas to likely be the go to guys with a cheap Kyren Lacy getting a boost. But don’t be shocked if LSU does some trickery at QB as well.
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Tulane vs USC (-2.5), over/under: 65.5
This is it. This is the game. I know, I know. You’re sitting there saying – no shit sherlock. Well, look, I just tell you what I see and I see a team who was special all season long and has the best QB on the slate going today.
You’re damn right I am talking about the Tulane Green Wave bitches.
- Tulane: Pratt, Watts, Spears
- USC: Caleb Williams, Mario Williams
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Penn State (-1) vs Utah, over/under: 53.5
This is equally as interesting to me and a slight preference on this over the LSU/Purdue for a full game stack option.
Sean Clifford gets to play one more damn game and they certainly shouldn’t have any rushing on Utah, so if Penn State is smart they just let him chuck it all out of his system today if he hasn’t already.
Utah smells like a team who wants to finish strong after winning the Pac-10 and getting thumped in the Rose Bowl a year ago. They are my favorite bet today even with Dalton Kincaid departing.
- UTAH: Cam Rising, Devaughn Vele, Money Parks, Logan Kendall (TE)
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QB is very good today, big decisions are around Caleb Williams and Jayden Daniels as your chalk combination. Of which, I am fading Jayden.
- Michael Pratt (Tulane) – $7200
- Caleb Williams (USC) – $8600
- Cameron Rising (Utah) – $7500
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Wild Cards
- Will Rogers (Miss St) – $7000 … Gamestack options are limited though
- Austin Burton (Purdue) – $5200 … Lets see how good Drew Brees is as a coach
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RB is very tough to pin down today, we have depth here but very little secure picks.
- Tyjae Spears (Tulane) – $6900 … You can play him with Pratt and if you are banking on a shootout like me then you SHOULD play him with Pratt.
- Devin Mockobee (Purdue) – $6600 … You still run vs LSU. LSU is also very thin on the DL, so with a new QB starting here as well this is where Purdue SHOULD go.
- Joquavious Marks (Miss St) – $5800
- Austin Jones (USC) – $6200 … Should get volume early until USC realizes they are down 24-0 and they gotta air it out. Even then he could wind up being the #2 RB today.
- Reggie Love (IL) – $5200
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There isn’t a true LOCK at WR either, but with good weather games I like the passing upside that all these guys have. And based on price they make lineups fit well.
- Devaughn Vele (UTAH) – $6400 … Should get even more boost with Kincaid out, he is the one true must own for me today at WR
- Deuce Watts (Tulane) – $5500 … Watts shows up in big games for Tulane and I expect him to have a touchdown today. The other Tulane WR to load up on are Shae Wyatt and JhaQuan Jackson.
- Mario Williams (USC) – $6100 … Fine with Washington as well as Brendan Rice.
- KeAndre Lambert Smith (PSU) – $5200 … No Parker Washington for Penn State.
Value …
- Money Parks (UTAH) – $4500
- Kyren Lacy (LSU) – $3600 / Brian Thomas (LSU) – $4000
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LINEUP CONSTRUCTION
Two Quarterbacks
Four receivers
I will be stacking Tulane. This is a great slate to stack a team because we could see one team out of the 8 score 14 more points than anyone else. It’s not a shootout slate and Tulane is my pick to be amped up and ready to go. They have everyone they need available on offense.
BETS
Mississippi State -3
Tulane ML
LSU/Purdue UNDER 54.5
Utah ML