MLB · April 10, 2023

The Dongers Club – April 10th

We only have 8 games on the MAIN slate tonight because the MLB continues to schedule a ton of 6pm window games and they’re not included on the MAIN DFS slate, which is a big bummer because we miss out on Marlins vs Phillies and … Astros vs Pirates!

WEATHER

  • Wind out to RF (13 mph) in Atlanta
  • Wind out to CF (10 mph) in Wrigleyville
  • Mid 70’s with a 58% dewpoint in Coors
  • Roof should be open in Chase Field

 

So there’s two ways to approach this slate overall and it all centers around the pitching you are comfortable with.  I don’t think you’ll wind up witih a comfortable build where you have a balanced lineup tonight, meaning that you either should have two mid/cheaper pitchers and higher $ bats or the flip side.  So I present two options today.

THE CHEAPER ‘Underpriced’ ARMS

LOGAN WEBB

This is a criminal price, I don’t care if it’s the Dodgers.  Did you see how the mighty Giants offense went from hot in warm windy Chicago to ass in San Francisco?  Same thing should happen with the hot Dodgers bats going from Chase Field to San Francisco.  A game stack with Urias is just fine as well, but I like the leverage side of having Webb on DraftKings at $7400

BRYCE EDLER

Edler got up to 79 pitches in his debut and went 6 innings as he allowed just 2 hits with 3 walks vs a good St. Louis Lineup.  The Reds aren’t one to miss many bats and given that they have never seen Edler before the advantage is on his side here too.  A season ago his Slider generated a 36% whiff rate & five of the top 6 for Cincinnati had 27%+ K rate in that same split.  I see another 6 innings with 6+ strikeouts from Edler.

Just missed the cut:  Zac Gallen.  He’ll put it together soon, but I am not tempting the heater that is on in Arizona right now

 

THE BETTER ‘Pay Up’ ARMS

MAX SCHERZER 

I believe that when you are a hall of fame pitcher you can figure things out and that’s what is on the plate now for Scherzer as he and other veteran pitchers continue to adapt to the pitch clock.  Max was always a guy who worked fast, but clearly last start things were too fast for him as he got lit up in Milwaukee.  The Padres come in hitting well, but also off a late night down in Atlanta and then traveling.  I like Max to rebound well today.

YU DARVISH

Just go full game stack here in what could be a quiet low scoring game in Queens.  Darvish gets a nice big park behind him and an offense which isn’t dangerous much after the first inning.  His pitch depth should just give fits to Alvarez, Pham, Escobar and Canha.  Game stack these two guys and then take the over 0.5 first inning runs as your double-down middle bet.

 

ANGELS

Ward, Renfroe, Drury, Rendon

Sooooo, Patrick Corbin in Anaheim vs a white hot Angels lineup smashing LHP right now?  Very little else to try and justify the Angels here, but I should remind you that it’s not just auto Trout-Ohtani.  Ward, Renfroe, Drury and Rengifo are the key builds here, who also should do just fine vs a mediocre at best bullpen.

CARDINALS

Arenado, Burelson, Walker

Yep.  The Cardinals go to Coors and what do you know, we have dirt ass cheap hitters here like Alec Burleson, Brendan Donovan, Jordan Walker and Nolan Gorman who are going to be in many lineups.  DFS tonight is basically Angels/Cards pick the cheap ones you want and which studs you want and move on.  Kinda an ugly slate.

BREWERS vs DIAMONDBACKS

Jesse Winker/William Contreras (MIL), Christian Walker/Lourdes Gurriel Jr (ARI)

Gotta keep riding Chase Field until it cools off.  The roof being fixed is the biggest park change in the league this season as the ball has been carrying EXTREMELY well.

 

CATCHER

The brothers finish their series and now go on their separate ways into great road parks to consider catchers in.  This is very much a pay up spot on ‘Catcher Mondays’ as we look for all the tributes to Wilson Ramos out there tonight.

  1. Willson Contreras
  2. William Contreras
  3. Salvador Perez

 

FIRST BASE

  1. Christian Walker
  2. Hunter Dozier
  3. Nathaniel Lowe

 

SECOND BASE

Pick an Angel, pick a Cardinal.  It’s that simple here folks as not much else is of much interest elsewhere.

  1. Brendan Donovan
  2. Brandon Drury
  3. Luis Rengifo

 

THIRD BASE

  1. Anthony Rendon
  2. Eugenio Suarez
  3. Nolan Arenado

 

SHORTSTOP

  1. Bobby Witt Jr
  2. Willy Adames
  3. Ezequiel Tovar

 

OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore

  1. Hunter Renfroe
  2. Alec Burleson
  3. Adolis Garcia
  4. Lourdies Gurriel Jr

 

The Dongers Club

  1. Anthony Rendon – 3B – Angels – Chairman of The Dongers Club
  2. Bobby Witt Jr – SS – Royals
  3. Christian Walker – 1B – Diamondbacks
  4. Brendan Donovan – 2B – Caridnals
  5. William Contreras – C – Brewers
  6. Christian Yelich – OF – Brewers
  7. Hunter Renfroe – OF – Angels
  8. Adolis Garcia – OF – Rangers
  9. BONUS ……….. Eugenio Suarez – 3B – Mariners

 

FAVORITE BET(s)

  • Cubs ML
  • Giants ML

 

TOP PROP(s) OF THE DAY

Pitchers (0-2 yesterday…. 21-9 on season)

  • Max Scherzer over 6.5
  • Yu Darvish over 5.5
  • Steven Matz under 4.5

 

Batters

  • Eugenio Suarez over 1.5 total bases
  • Freddie Freeman under 1.5 hits
  • Jesse Winker Anytime HR +700 …. Just following the trend here on the yesterday chairman homer.

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