The Dongers Club – June 1st

← The Dongers Club hub  ·  Daily MLB home run picks & DFS, since August 2020. Browse the archive or see how DCPA works.

Welcome to June, Kyle Schwarber’s favorite month for some reason or another.  Schwarber has hit 47 home runs in the month of June in 132 career games.  Not too bad, and one of the reasons I think he has been due for a breakout here soon, but the other is just the entire Phillies lineup construct and getting their cycles coordinated between Turner-Schwarber-Harper-Castellanos and Realmuto.  Once they do, look out. What does this have to do with today’s slate?  Absolutely nothing.  Well, they are on the slate vs Max Scherzer in a day game…. Anyways, seven total games today, 4 are early, 3 are late.  I’ll cover it all   WEATHER Three domes on the early slate and the Citi Field game between Phillies/Mets which will be played in 80 degree temps and probably good for home runs and all. No weather issues for the 3 night gamges today which are: Reds/Red Sox Guardians/Twins Angels/Astros   TOP ARMS Jesus Luzardo and Joe Musgrove I like Kevin Gausman’s strikeout upside vs Milwaukee (who doesn’t?), but my big call today is that Luzardo finishes as the top K pitcher on the slate.  I would jump on his strikeout props and maybe even ladder it up today and if we get lucky with a South Beach afternoon lineup from the Padres then this could have 8 inning, 1 hit performance all over it. With Musgrove being 7300 I suspect he is no doubt 40% or higher owned on DraftKings, and quite possibly #1 on FanDuel as well.  Fade on FD, but take the SP double barrel on a short slate.   NIGHT SLATE ARMS Chris Sale Hunter Greene Framber Valdez   CITI FIELD If you read what I randomly wrote above then you see where I am going here.  It’s Philly vs Max, good weather, wind blowing out, cycles syncing up.  Make us proud today Phillies, make us proud. The Mets are the lede being buried here though, they’ll get to face Taijuan Walker, their former pal and boy has he been bad in Philly — especially here in a divisional game vs a team who should be patient at the plate drawing walks and have lots of RISP opportunities.  Mets bats are cheap too. KEY PHILLIES … Schwarber, Harper, Marsh, Turner KEY METS … McNeil, Nimmo, Baty, Alonso   Next Best Team:  Colorado   NIGHT SLATE STACKS Guardians (Ramirez, Bell) Twins (Gallo,…...

Keep reading — and get the full war room.

The rest of this breakdown is for members. A subscription unlocks the entire Daily Ambush platform:

  • Command Center — your entire slate on one screen
  • Tier-graded stacks (A/B/C) with heatmap and pair analysis
  • Ambush Intel — named AI agents tracking live P/L, every sport
  • Batter vs. pitcher pitch arsenals, xwOBA splits, BvP history
  • Lineup optimizer with pro stack rules and exposure controls
  • SIM Matrix — Monte Carlo simulation engine

View Membership Options Already a member? Log in