Two early games today means that we have just a 13 game main slate tonight.
WEATHER
Heavy amounts of rain coming into Citi Field before their game tonight but likely they can keep the field in good condition and get the game in afterwards.
After Brady Singer and Gavin Williams pitched gems last night, Kauffman Stadium has 96 degree temps with an 84% DewPoint, the ball if it gets in the air, will carry.
The wind is blowing out and could be of impact for hitting in Boston (LF) and Baltimore (RF)
It doesn’t get much cleaner than last night in terms of picking the 4 arms to consider, and certainly today doesn’t look to replicate that ease of selections.
TOP ARM
LOGAN WEBB (DK: $10,600, FD: $10,700)
The Blue Jays are a dead red offense, who loves to sit back and chop away violently at fastballs. This is not the game plan that Logan Webb deploys and he should be able to keep them off balance for a good portion of tonight’s game. Combine that with his recent low walk rate and durability to go 7 IP and I think we can pick on the Blue Jays “potent” lineup as they say tonight with Webb, because I was wrong last night, the Jays are NOT about to pop off.
SP2 ARM
DANE DUNNING (DK: $6100, FD: $7500)
Detroit had their little fun with the Rangers, they should get smoked tonight throwing Joey Wentz out there to start and likely won’t get much damage of Dunning, who honestly is having a breakout season for the Rangers and while his strikeout numbers on the whole aren’t fantastic, the Tigers did K 6 times vs him back on May 31st in Detroit and should produce a similar result tonight.
OTHER NOTES
Those are the only two I am considering tonight.
The following guys I think will pitch fine but are not ranked ahead of Webb for me today, so why bother.
- Cristian Javier, Mitch Keller, Lucas Giolito
These guys might get some hype/ownership but I think they are fades
- JP Sears
- Domingo German
- Braxon Garrett
- Logan Allen
There is a ton of offense projected tonight, and I got 3 home teams here, which normally a full stack is better for the road team, but I can see each of these jumping out early in the first inning. It’s a good night for Yes on runs in the first inning too.
ORIOLES
Cedric Mullins, Adley Rutschman, Gunnar Henderson
Baltimore should do what everyone else does against Luke Weaver. Light him up like a Christmas tree in June. Both sides in this game are likely to produce well for you in DFS. Jake Fraley, and EDLC for Cincinnati profile well vs Gibson.
RED SOX
Rob Refsnyder, Justin Turner, Adam Duvall
Braxon Garrett is emerging into a high end DFS player with his incredible strikeout rates but the match-up in Fenway vs Boston could not be worse for someone coming off his career best start.
RANGERS
Marcus Semien, Josh Jung, Nate Lowe, Mitch Garver
All they do is rake. Once Joey Wentz is OUT of the game the lefties in this lineup will have a field day as well and I am not confident that Wentz will make it out of the first inning tonight.
CATCHER
- Mitch Garver … 4k price on DraftKings is perfect today. If he gets to face Wentz in that 1st inning he will clear the bases and send Joey to the showers.
- Adley Rutschman
- Austin Hedges
FIRST BASE
- Justin Turner
- Nate Lowe
- Mike Moustakas
SECOND BASE
Good spot to save tonight, but Arraez is likely to get on base 3 times again and score a couple times as well, pretty easy button for $3200 on FD. Marcus Semien is fine in a full Texas stack where you buy into him getting 6 PA.
- Luis Arraez
- Harold Castro
- Miguel Vargas
THIRD BASE
- Josh Jung
- Elly De La Cruz
- Alex Bregman
SHORTSTOP
- Gunnar Henderson
- Bobby Witt Jr
- Amed Rosario
OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore
- Cedric Mullins
- Mookie Betts … I am not chasing Coors tonight but a Mookie lead off HR to start the game sounds right.
- Jake Fraley
- Adam Duvall
OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore
- Jorge Soler
- Eloy Jimenez
- Michael Conforto
- Anthony Santander
OUTFIELD – Value
- Rob Refsnyder
- The Kansas City Law Firm Summer Interms … Waters, Blanco & Taylor
- Seth Brown
- Cedric Mullins – OF – Baltimore Orioles – Chairman of The Dongers Club
- Josh Jung – 3B – Rangers
- Mitch Garver – C – Rangers
- Marcus Semien – 2B – Rangers
- Justin Turner – 1B – Red Sox
- Elly De La Cruz – SS – Reds
- Mookie Betts – OF – Dodgers
- Jorge Soler – OF – Marlins
- BONUS ……………………… Michael Conforto – OF – Giants
TODAY’S BETTING ANALYSIS
Good Over Upside — Meaning these have best potential to go way over…
- Reds/Orioles
- Marlins/Red Sox
- Astros/Cardinals … Sneaky game stack that ends 8-7
- Rangers Team Total OVER
Good Under Upside — Meaning best potential to be a 2-1 or 5-2 type game.
- Giants/Blue Jays
- Rays/Diamondbacks
- White Sox/Angels
ML Targets
- Red Sox
- Yankees
- If at anytime the Rangers are -140 or better, take them.