Ten games tonight.
WEATHER
Chance of storms in game in Atlanta and change of rain/storms out in Colorado as well. There will likely be bad haze/air quality once again in New York and also in Washington tonight. Who the heck knows if they actually get all scared and try to PPD these games, they haven’t in the past to my knowledge when this happened out in Seattle a year or two ago.
White Sox vs Yankees and Tigers vs Phillies officially PPD
TOP ARM(s)
CORBIN BURNES (DK: $10.2k, FD: $10k)
Burnes is pitching well and the Orioles are more explosive against LHP, so his damage risk is minimal here and we should see a good strikeout performance to justify the five figure salary.
SP2 CANDIDATES
LANCE LYNN (DK: $8700, FD: $8200)
Weather/Air Quality risk of PPD for Lynn – but no Judge should make him popular and should also make him free of the risk of being pulled early. This overall slate has a limited amount of big time strikeout potential plays, with Max Scherzer being the only one I could see having a big time game so Lynn going 6 innings (he will throw 100 pitches) and a weak Yankee lineup should justify him being alright.
ZACH DAVIES (DK: $6200)
I really want to scream at myself and say “WHY ARE YOU PICKING ON THE NATIONALS STILL”, but hey, here I am. Call me crazy, but this sets up as that once every 6 starts where Davies is rolling through the first few innings without much issue. Why? A big deal is his pitch profiles and what the Nationals have and have not hit this season and they haven’t hit sinkers exceptionally well
Favorite third pitcher – Jon Gray
OTHER PITCHING NOTES
I don’t understand why Randy Vasquez is only $4,000 on DraftKings. He has already started one game going 4 2/3 IP and really nobody should be $4k when we know they could go more than an inning. Case in point, Ronel Blanco is $5200 for Houston. Upside limited though. Heck, Kutter Crawford is even $6800 and he wont throw more than 50 pitches.
Max Scherzer has all the underlying signs pointing to a 10 strikeout game, except for the fact that 2023 Max Scherzer does not do what 2019 Max Scherzer would have done.
DODGERS
BEtts, Smith, Taylor, Vargas
Back to the well, with wind blowing out to RF and young Brandon Williamson on the mound it sets up nicely for Will Smith and Mookie Betts — as too should the young kids like Miguel Vargas and the old fart Chris Taylor is going yard.
UPDATE: I undersold the other side in this game a bit as well. I do like Cincinnati, obviously Elly is still cheap, McLain is hitting well and Fraley is for real to do damage off Thor. The Reds ran at will versus Milwaukee and will be looking to do the same vs Thor as well. I like Cincy for DFS exposure.
ANGELS
Ohtani, Trout, Renfroe
Lurking out west late tonight is a very good Cubs/Angels game but without massive heat/weather to help things out. No problem, we got Jameson Taillon who can make some bad decisions in life tonight by giving up homers to these power bats.
BLUE JAYS
Matt Chapman, George Springer
Looking for one offs to homer here, more than Blanco giving up a ton of hits and walks. Power should come from the RHH and I really think Chapman excels.
D’BACKS
Walker, Longoria, Rivera, Marte
Corbin, Patrick is going for Nationalville today. Load up on Walker, Christian
Trap game of the Night: Mets at Braves
I really want to draw some analogies to the Mets and Braves game tonight, but I will just sum it up like this. It looks like a game where you want to touch on some pitchers who could hang 20-25 performance, or you want to stack up some hitting in the game thinking you can get the nuts stack with 3+ homers and 13 runs scored. But guess what… You’ll get just enough to tease you into coming into the game, enough to make you think you are having a good time and then when the night is said and done you’ll realize it was a mistake and you are just sitting in no mans land with less money than you had before.
CATCHER
- Will Smith
- Francisco Alvarez
- Yasmani Grandal
FIRST BASE
- Christian Walker
- Pete Alonso
- Triston Casas
SECOND BASE
- Mookie Betts
- Ketel Marte
THIRD BASE
- Matt Chapman
- Evan Longoria
- Chris Taylor
SHORTSTOP
- Elly De La Cruz – Only moved up to 2700 on DraftKings, so lets take his nice 2 SB night.
- Bo Bichette
- Nick Ahmed
OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore
- George Springer
- Mookie Betts
- Mitch Haniger
- Mike Trout
OUTFIELD – Tier 2
- Seiya Suzuki
- Christian Yelich
- Steven Kwan
- Alex Verdugo
OUTFIELD – Value
- Mike Tauchman
- Will Brennan
- Hunter Renfroe
- Chris Taylor – 3B – Dodgers – Chairman of The Dongers Club
- Christian Walker – 1B – Diamondbacks
- Yasmani Grandal – C – White Sox
- Mookie Betts – 2B – Dodgers
- Hunter Renfroe – OF – Angels
- Mitch Haniger – OF – Giants
- George Springer – OF – Blue Jays
- Elly De La Cruz – SS – Reds
- BONUS ………….. Evan Longoria – 3B – Diamondbacks
TODAY’S BETTING ANALYSIS
Good Over Upside — Meaning these have best potential to go way over…
- Red Sox/Guardians
- Cubs/Angels
- Dodgers/Reds
Good Under Upside — Meaning best potential to be a 2-1 game.
- White Sox/Yankees
- Cardinals/Rangers
ML Targets
- D’Backs
- Dodgers
- Guardians