10 Game Sunday Main Slate today on DraftKings, and a bonus 11th Yankee/Rockies Coors game on FanDuel.
WEATHER
We should be all clear today. There is a chance that the games in Baltimore & Philadelphia are delayed slightly but will get played.
- Wind blowing OUT at Wrigley Field to RF
Every pitcher who is going today obviously has had 1+ week off, if not more. I would expect some first inning runs allowed, Yu could definitely Sei I like the runs in the first inning.
MY THREE PITCHERS
Zach Eflin (DK: $10,000 / FD: $10,500)
With his low walk rate and the Royals likely not walking at all today there is a great chance Eflin will go into the 7th inning following the double-header on Saturday and get this game over with quickly before evening storms roll into town. If Perez sits then we’re gonna possibly get a shutout performance here too.
Martin Perez (DK: $6,000 / FD: $7,200)
Put this one down into the ‘Sunday Sleeper’ category with Perez at home vs Cleveland looking like a tough K% upside spot, but one where the veteran getting plenty of rest off a dumpster fire start vs Houston is prime for a good rebound.
Max Scherzer (DK: $9,400 / FD: $9,600)
Going against my Sunday Citi Field OVERS narrative as this game has been moved back to 5:30 PM start time to avoid weather issues. Both Max and Bobby Miller are in play for me, with Max being the one who SHOULD be lower owned because of how bad the Mets offense is right now, but I like him to pitch well in this odd start time and send the Dodgers away on a get away with a loss.
OTHER PITCHING THOUGHTS
- Houser will pitch well for Milwaukee and at $5700 won’t burn you for his price.
- Same deal with Kyle Bradish
FAVORITE CORES …
Diamondbacks: Evan Longoria, Lourdes Gurriel
Kikuchi vs the Diamondbacks is a match made in heaven if you wanna be a load up em, stack away guy. The Longoria double in the 1st inning to clear the bases might look like you are golden, but it’s the Solo HR in the 5th which really puts this stack over the top today.
Rays: Brandon Lowe, Josh Lowe
Singer was pitching so much better priot to getting destroyed by Cleveland before the all-star break and this is NOT a good match-up for him at all.
White Sox: Eloy Jimenez, Jake Burger, Yasmani Grandal
Yes, I know the Braves are allowed to hit at least 8 times in this game as well, but the prices on the White Sox are perfect for a sucker like me. Kolby Allard, the former Ranger, has been alright for Atlanta in his spot opening and then they get into the bullpen. I like the Sox chances in a hitter friendly park today to pay off here for everyone not named Luis Robert that is 4k or below.
OTHER NOTES …
- Cubs: I like the Cubs a good amount, but respect Crawford against RHH and the Cubs basically are down to Bellinger who is white hot and Mike Tauchman as your main lefties to hit him here. Ian Happ is tempting but doesn’t grade too well.
- Rangers: Put Texas into the category of teams who will explode very soon as they get their rhythm down again.
CATCHER
- Yasmani Grandal
- Carson Kelly
- Jonah Heim
- Christian Bethancourt
FIRST BASE
- Luke Raley
- Nathaniel Lowe
- Christian Walker
SECOND BASE
- Brandon Lowe
- Ketel Marte
- Whit Merrifield
THIRD BASE
- Evan Longoria
- Jake Burger
- Manny Machado
SHORTSTOP
- Willy Adames
- Wander Franco
- CJ Abrams
OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr
- Josh Lowe
- Eloy Jimenez
- Juan Soto
OUTFIELD – Tier 2
- Ronald Acuna Jr.
- Cody Bellinger
- Kyle Schwarber
OUTFIELD – Value
- Jesus Sanchez
- Lars Nootbar
- Ezequiel Duran
- Seiya Suzuki
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr – OF – Diamondbacks – Chairman of The Dongers Club
- Evan Longoria – 3B – Diamondbacks
- Ketel Marte – 2B – Diamondbacks
- Juan Soto – OF – Padres
- Nate Lowe – 1B – Rangers
- Eloy Jimenez – OF – White Sox
- Cody Bellinger – OF – Cubs
- CJ Abrams – SS – Nationals
- BONUS ….. Brandon Lowe – 2B – Rays
TODAY’S BETTING ANALYSIS
Good Over Upside — Meaning these have best potential to go way over…
- Diamondbacks/Jays
Good Under Upside — Meaning best potential to be a 2-1 or 5-2 type game.
- Brewers/Reds
ML Targets
- Brewers
- Cubs
- Mets