The Giants/Reds game will resume today around 4:40 PM and then they will play the normal game after that. They are tied, but I would assume that the first game is done and lineups immediately posted for the second game, although there is more storm potential right around the time they are looking to resume.
WEATHER
Lots of potential storms here to monitor, but all pretty low PPD risk, so I would say all clear tonight.
This is a very risky SP slate tonight, we’ll see good performances but they should be more of a contrarian type.
MY THREE PITCHERS
Lucas Giolito (DK: 9300, FD: $10k)
This should be a low scoring game in Queens tonight and Carlos Carrasco for just $6200 on DK is a good SP2 chalk to pair here with Giolito for a game stack. Something not common on a big 14 game slate, but worth noting as an option. Giolito gets the lean though, as I trust his depth into the game more — he should go 7 innings, limit the Mets to 2 ER or less and have a 6+ strikeout spot.
Patrick Sandoval (DK: 7500, FD: $7100)
It’s me, picking on another NY team and yeah, this one is really bad right now. Sandoval has been very inconsistent in 2023, but when he gets a shitty offense like this he should capitalize with lots of GB outs and some depth tonight.
Daniel Lynch (DK: $6300, FD: $7500)
Two young lefties against two bad offenses tonight in Kauffman Stadium. Skubal might have the better ratio of Strikeouts overall but his ceiling is really limited due to just being a third start off the IL this season and the Tigers taking it easy with him right now.
OTHER PITCHING THOUGHTS
- I am still a believer in Alek Manoah and his 0 BB 8 K performance no matter who it was against is the first encouraging sign to see the mental block start to wear off for him. The pitch clock most definitely was a big cause of issues, so too has been the pitch calling from the catcher, and I hope Danny Jansen is catching him tonight and we’ll get a solid outing from Manoah.
- Bailey Ober has a 28.3% strikeout rate vs Seattle and I thought you should know that. Plus the Mariners are consistently among the worst K teams in the league night in and night out.
FAVORITE CORES …
ASTROS
Dubon, Bregman, McCormick
Yep. Houston is in Coors tonight. Drawing Jake Bird, no relation to Mark Fidyrich either. Likely bullpen game comes out of this for the Rockies which likely ends with Chas McCormick staying white hot and smashing his $3400 cheap price on DK today.
THE BRAVES?
Acuna, Albies, Riley
Classic Movie reference here folks. The Naked Gun. When Lt. Frank Drebin, errrrr Enrico Pallazzo took over as umpire in a classic game between the Mariners and Angels and Jay Johnstone steps in to face Dave Spiewack and the first pitch is thrown ….
….
…
aaaaaaaaaaaaaand?
…
“Strike?”
Yeah. That’s me looking at this slate of all these good games and then seeing uh, Braves vs Zach Davies… Uhhhh… Maybe we should be loading up on … Braves?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LyghaQMO5HQ
Sooo, like..
- Acuna?
- Ozzzzzzie Albies twooooooo
- Austin Rileeeeeeey threee
A bunch of bombs in the air…. The home of the land and the land of the Free, load up on the Braves against Zach Davieees.
OTHER NOTES …
- Tampa/Texas has fireworks tonight. Lean heavy on the Texas side to do damage again. I really like Grossman more than anyone should like Robbie Grossman today.
- Cubs vs Corbin – 3 hits, 2 walks, 3 homers…. Good luck guessing the homers but Yan Gomes has to be one of them I would think.
- Arizona is worrying me that they go into a big time funk right now. 1st half Diamondbacks woulda been top stack but tonight I doubt they get more than 3 runs total.
- SF/CIN should play high scoring with the humidity/dewpoint and those SP going.
CATCHER
- Yan Gomes
- Yainer Diaz
- Keibert Ruiz
FIRST BASE
- Nate Lowe … Answers his brother tonight
- Alex Kiriloff
- Connor Joe … Still on the Pirates in case you were wondering.
SECOND BASE
- Ozzie Albies
- Casey Schmitt
- Brandon Lowe
THIRD BASE
- Austin Riley
- Alex Bregman
- Patrick Wisdom
SHORTSTOP
- Gunnar Henderson
- Mauricio Dubon
- Xander Bogaerts
OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore
- Chas McCormick
- Jorge Soler
- Michael Conforto
- Nolan Jones
OUTFIELD – Tier 2
- Kyle Tucker
- Adolis garcia
- Ronald Acuna Jr
OUTFIELD – Value
- Bryan De La Cruz
- Seiya Suzuki
- MJ Melendez
- Austin Riley – 3B – Braves – Chairman of The Dongers Club
- Chas McCormick – OF – Astros
- Yan Gomes – C – Cubs
- Nate Lowe – 1B – Rangers
- Ozzie Albies – 2B – Braves
- Gunnar Henderson – SS – Orioles
- Connor Joe – OF – Pirates
- Jorge Soler – OF – Marlins
- BONUS … Michael Conforto – OF – Giants
TODAY’S BETTING ANALYSIS
Good Over Upside — Meaning these have best potential to go way over…
- Giants/Reds G2
- Diamondbacks/Braves
- Marlins/Cardinals
Good Under Upside — Meaning best potential to be a 2-1 or 5-2 type game.
- White Sox/Mets
- Tigers/Royals
ML Targets
- Pirates -112
- Blue Jays +114
- White Sox +104
- Marlins +134
- Royals +142
- Athletics +162