MLB · July 19, 2023

The Dongers Club – July 19th (Early)

FanDuel players are exposed to the Guardians and Pirates at 12:35 while DraftKings will lock at 1:05 with just a 5 game early slate.

This slate includes LAD/BAL, TB/TEX, HOU/COL, MIA/STL and BOS/OAK.

 

WEATHER

No major concerns

 

MY THREE PITCHERS

Sandy Alcantara (DK: 8400, FD: $8400)

Price synchronicity and happy Sandy Day 2023!  Sure, there is a ‘former team’ narrative if you want to stretch it here but I see someone who just had much higher expectations that is pitching just fine of late.  His last four starts Sandy has allowed a total of 5 walks over 24 2/3 IP, 8 ER — 4 of which were in Atlanta and has 21 strikeouts.  It’s not Cy Young level no, but it’s good and the Cardinals offense should struggle to produce consistent hard contact today.

Brayan Bello (DK: $9100, FD: $10k)

Hey nice, the Boston in Oakland shutout came with Medina last night?  Of all people, awesome.  I would go here again for a “hopefully” safe pitching combination and a 4-2 game.  Boston will hit Waldichuk enough to only consider Bello

Sneaky Value – Austin Gomber

 

FAVORITE CORES …

ROCKIES

  • Kris Bryant
  • CJ Cron
  • Nolan Jones

 

DODGERS / ORIOLES

  • Will Smith
  • Max Muncy
  • Ryan Mountcastle

 

RAYS / RANGERS

  • Luke Raley
  • Isaac Paredes
  • Nate Lowe
  • Josh Jung
  • Jonah Heim

 

 

CATCHER

  1. Will Smith
  2. Jonah Heim

 

FIRST BASE

Good upside on taking HR picks here.

  1. Freddie Freeman
  2. CJ Cron
  3. Ryan Mountcastle
  4. Garrett Cooper – Value

 

SECOND BASE

  1. Joradn Westburg
  2. Enrique Hernandez
  3. Zack Gelof

 

THIRD BASE

  1. Max Muncy
  2. Alex Bregman
  3. Isaac Parades

 

SHORTSTOP

  1. Jeremy Pena
  2. Joey Wendle
  3. Ezequiel Tovar

 

OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore

  1. Nolan Jones
  2. Mookie Betts
  3. Jorge Soler
  4. Kris Bryant

 

  1. Nolan Jones – OF – Colorado Rockies – Chairman of The Dongers Club
  2. Ryan Mountcastle – 1B – Orioles
  3. Will Smith – C – Dodgers

 

TODAY’S BETTING ANALYSIS

Good Over Upside — Meaning these have best potential to go way over…

  • Dodgers/Orioles
  • Rays/Rangers

 

Good Under Upside — Meaning best potential to be a 2-1 or 5-2 type game.

  • Red Sox/Athletics
  • Marlins/Cardinals

 

ML Targets

  • Rockies

 

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