This article covers the 4PM Slate, which DraftKings has 5 games on as they retained the Mets/Red Sox game which technically is a 7PM game, while FanDuel has it on the right time slot. The reason here is that the game was an afternoon game and got pushed back as they are making up the Friday night game first.
For the record, I am covering all five of these games in this article …
- Dodgers (Miller) at Rangers (Dunning)
- Blue Jays (Gausman) at Mariners (Gilbert)
- Diamondbacks (Gilbert) at Reds (Williamson)
- Orioles (GrayRod) at Rays (McClanahan)
- Mets (Scherzer) at Red Sox (Paxton)
WEATHER
Warm and wind blowing out (10 mph) to center in Cincinnati.
Of course, I write this as if it’s not the dead of Summer. Of course it’s warm….
Pretty cool as we have two Gilbert’s going today and neither is named Godfrey, although Zach Godley did recently sign a minor league deal with the Athletics in case you were looking to make a ton of money stacking against him come later this season.
The match-up between Grayson Rodriguez and Shane McClanahan is a doozy today. I think that is a must watch game if you are free to wach it and I expect both to pitch very well but also have some high stress innings come out of it.
Here are my SP rankings today
- Kevin Gausman
- Logan Gilbert
- Grayson Rodriguez
Hard to not just go with Gausman against Seattle the way they strike out. It’s becoming a broken record with those guys but we should keep pounding it until they can prove otherwise. Pairing him with Logan Gilbert who should continue to pitch decent (and better than last time too) is my preferred built.
Riding down with a cheap SP2 points us directly into Grayson Rodriguez. He looked REALLY good despite the final outcome vs the Dodgers, and the Rays offense is not as potent as the Dodgers are right now. Early in the season, yes, now though they’re very mediocre. He’s viable.
The whole world should build around the Diamondbacks and Reds on this slate. Cincinnati just hasn’t been as lethal vs a LHP of late, but Tyler Gilbert also isn’t someone who pitches a ton. I am fine backing both teams here, but the Reds are for sure the ones I expect to do more damage.
With the late start time and unknown lineups we could see low ownership on the Mets and Red Sox. Both of whom should put up 4+ runs today with good HR upside from some guys you know can jack a few out in Pete Alonso (despite being cold) and Rafael Devers.
The game which gets overlooked is Dodgers vs Rangers.
Overall team stack rankings
- Diamondbacks/Reds
- Mets/Red Sox
- Dodgers/Rangers
CATCHER
- Will Smith
- Adley Rutschman
- Carson Kelly
FIRST BASE
- Pete Alonso
- Christian Walker
- Ryan Mountcastle
SECOND BASE
Save money here.
- Brandon Lowe
- Christian Arroyo
- Jeff McNeil
THIRD BASE
- Rafael Devers
- Evan Longoria
SHORTSTOP
- Francisco Lindor
- Nick Ahmed
- Elly De La Cruz
OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore
- Spencer Steer
- JD Martinez
- Tommy Pham
- Alex Verdugo
- Rafael Devers – 3B – Boston Red Sox – Chairman of The Dongers Club
- Christian Walker – 1B – Diamondbacks
- Spencer Steer – OF – Reds
- JD Martinez – OF – Dodgers
- Evan Longoria – 3B – Diamondbacks
TODAY’S BETTING ANALYSIS
Good Over Upside — Meaning these have best potential to go way over…
- D/Backs/Reds
- Dodgers/Rangers
Good Under Upside — Meaning best potential to be a 2-1 or 5-2 type game.
- Blue Jays/Mariners
ML Targets
- Reds
- Orioles