A little scheduling note as we go into the All-Star Break. This weekend looks like it will be a one article day on Saturday and then one on Sunday before we are off for four days next week. I will have a brief HR Derby Betting guide for Monday’s derby once some more odds get posted for that and then radio silence Tue, Wed and Thu. Absolutely nothing. It’ll be like I didn’t exist for those three days. Which honestly, is probably a good thing for all of you. No MLB, no Taysom Hill tweets, no complaining about MLB scheduling, etc… And then Friday will hit us with a 14 game slate and then I’ll be bitching and moaning about Juan Soto not being on the main slate. But for now, let’s enjoy this weekend and before you know it College Football season will be upon us. WEATHER We should be clear of any big issues tonight. Tonight we have the return of Carlos Rodon to the mound making his Yankee debut and he is doing it against Jameson Taillon who returns to Yankee Stadium as a visitor. Nobody is above 10k on DraftKings even though we have a LHP with a 27% whiff rate against the Brewers, Zac Gallen against the Pirates and Corbin Burnes/Yu Darvish/Justin Verlander/Dylan Cease also going today. DraftKings just said fuck it, enjoy the cheap pricing and build whatever you want — FanDuel Style. I honestly don’t hate it today because it’s better to just make the depth of the pool even rather than make pricing so extreme that everyone builds the same way. TOP PITCHERS Zac Gallen (DK: $9600, FD: $10,100) Gallen got hit by the Pirates in PNC earlier this season, a rare occurance for him and he has given up a HR in each of his last six starts, but the guy is an absolute machine at home, very comfortable in the closed roof environment at Chase Field and I would wager plenty of money that the D’Backs offense gives him support vs Rich Hill today. Andy Abbott (DK: $9900, FD: $10600) When do the wheels fall off on the young kid, that’s what I would like to know? This isn’t to imply that he doesn’t clearly have some talent and isn’t going to be a quality pitcher long term. But everyone has their struggles at some point and…...
Keep reading — and get the full war room.
The rest of this breakdown is for members. A subscription unlocks the entire Daily Ambush platform:
- Command Center — your entire slate on one screen
- Tier-graded stacks (A/B/C) with heatmap and pair analysis
- Ambush Intel — named AI agents tracking live P/L, every sport
- Batter vs. pitcher pitch arsenals, xwOBA splits, BvP history
- Lineup optimizer with pro stack rules and exposure controls
- SIM Matrix — Monte Carlo simulation engine
