MAIN SLATE tonight. WEATHER All clear The path to fading Coors Field tonight has nothing to do with leverage or any other bullshit. It’s simply paying up for your pitching which folks in Coors should not be able to do. Gerrit Cole (DK: $11,500, FD: $11,100) Yeah, so Cole got lit up last year in Detroit. Don’t give a shit, that’s not something that will translate over here. Jesus Luzardo (DK: $9,200, FD: $9,600) Obviously a combination of Cole and Jesus is an immediate fade of Atlanta against Kyle Freeland in Coors Field. A lot of this for me is weighted by the fact that the cheap pitching tonight is not what it has been the last two nights. Brandon Pfaadt (DK: $6500, FD: $5800) He is the best cheap option because of the K% arsenal he can deliver with. At home vs the Dodgers on August 8th he showed some of that upside with 5K over 4 2/3 IP, a similar line in L.A. today may not be enough, but among the punt/cheap options with upside he is the best one. New York Yankees Gleyber Torres, Aaron Judge, DJ LeMahieu No, I did not go out drinking for lunch – but I kinda wish I had. Love the Yanks. Texas Rangers Corey Seager, Nate Lowe, Adolis Garcia, Jonah Heim Now here is a consideration on leverage. Game log watchers will trust the 4k punt Denyi Reyes to roll out a Braves full stack in Coors today – I don’t love Atlanta and I love the high end SP. Plus the Rangers just cannot stay this ice cold forever. Kansas City Royals / Pittsburgh Pirates Bobby Witt/MJ Melendez, KeBryan Hayes/Ji Hwan Bae CATCHER Jonah Heim Sean Murphy Gabriel Moreno FIRST BASE Chasing DJ who has had some good match-ups of late, but obviously his old ass isn’t gonna break a slate himself. At 3900 though I can take another shot considering he has the third highest combined weighted xSLG on pitchtypes vs Wentz tonight DJ LeMahieu Nate Lowe Pete Alonso SECOND BASE Gleyber Torres Ozzie Albies Ji hwan Bae THIRD BASE Muncy has been hitting great of late and finally doing more than just hitting homers, but tonight against Pfaadt the matchup is very favorable for a HR. Pfaadt is a good cheap option because he can get some strikeouts vs…...
Keep reading — and get the full war room.
The rest of this breakdown is for members. A subscription unlocks the entire Daily Ambush platform:
- Command Center — your entire slate on one screen
- Tier-graded stacks (A/B/C) with heatmap and pair analysis
- Ambush Intel — named AI agents tracking live P/L, every sport
- Batter vs. pitcher pitch arsenals, xwOBA splits, BvP history
- Lineup optimizer with pro stack rules and exposure controls
- SIM Matrix — Monte Carlo simulation engine
