MLB · August 5, 2023

The Dongers Club – August 5th

Main Slate for Sat, Aug 5th.

 

WEATHER

No concerns.

 

CORBIN BURNES

Burnes or bust today.  Watch this be the night those fake Pirates loot our money away, but I see no reason to really fade Burnesy here.

STEVEN MATZ

Ugh. Vomit?  Yeah, but Matz HAS been decent with back to back games not allowing a run.  No he isn’t gonna post another 0 ER over 6 IP spot today, but as we’re seeing just dont worry about finding a 30 spot from your pitchers.   The best bats in Colorado’s lineup are lefties now that Cron and Grichuk are gone.

 

 

Below are my favorite teams to build around today, using a 3-3-2 type roster construction.  One game which is ugly on paper but viable for value is the Giants and Athletics.  I actually lean on Oakland’s side against Chastity (aka the Stripper, aka, Ross Stripling) for the Giants, so we gotta like Zack Gelof who is on a tear and playing in a cloud at the moment.

BREWERS

  • Christian Yelich
  • William Contreras
  • Brian Anderson
  • Willy Adames

 

ORIOLES

Being at home I wouldn’t be rolling 5 Orioles out tonight.  But Tylor Megil should have a rough 1st inning.

  • Gunnar Henderson
  • Ryan Mountcastle

 

METS

  • Brandon Nimmo
  • Francisco Lindor
  • Jeff McNeil

 

OTHER NOTES:

  • Michael Grove is listed as opener for the Dodgers with Ryan Yarbrough coming in after that tonight.  So I lean the Padres RHH in that game.

 

CATCHER

  1. William and Willson Contreras…. The hit-men.  Like both brothers today, prefer Willie more…  You think he goes by Willie or does Willson go by Willie?  I need an answer here.
  2. Francisco Alvarez

 

FIRST BASE

  1. Paul Goldschmidt
  2. Ryan Mountcastle
  3. Pete Alonso

 

SECOND BASE

  1. Zack Gelof
  2. Ha-Seong Kim
  3. Andres Gimenez

 

THIRD BASE

Very good position, Gunnar can be moved to SS here as well.

  1. Gunnar Henderson
  2. Brian Anderson
  3. Manny Machado

 

SHORTSTOP

  1. Willy Adames
  2. Francisco Lindor
  3. Amed Rosario … Him and Chris Taylor and Miguel Rojas present enough to have me avoiding Snell today.  I think this is a low strikeout spot for Blake Snell.

 

OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore

  1. Christian Yelich
  2. Teoscar Hernandez
  3. Brandon Nimmo
  4. Anthony Santander

 

  1. William Contreras – C – Milwaukee Brewers – Chairman of The Dongers Club
  2. Christian Yelich – OF – Brewers
  3. Paul Goldschmidt – 1B – Cardinals
  4. Francisco Lindor – SS – Mets
  5. Anthony Santander – OF – Orioles
  6. Zack Gelof – 2B – Athletics

TODAY’S BETTING ANALYSIS

Good Over Upside — Meaning these have best potential to go way over…

  • Mets/Orioles
  • Dodgers/Padres

 

Good Under Upside — Meaning best potential to be a 2-1 or 5-2 type game.

  • White Sox/Guardians

 

ML Targets

  • Athletics
  • Dodgers

 

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