I wonder if anyone noticed something about yesterday’s article. I forgot to name it “Sunday” Dongers Club. What a whiff on my behalf with that and thus, the chairman streak has come to an end. That just means we can start a new one on this fine Monday night, which is a bulky DFS slate.
Following the 5 game Turbo slate and the early 11 AM Boston game today, we have a 9 game MAIN slate tonight which features four games in the 7pm window, one in the 8pm window and then 4 in the 9:40/West Coast window.
WEATHER
All clear.
Top Recommendations
TYLER GLASNOW (DK: $11k, FD: $11k) …The Nationals are coming, the Nationals are coming. And that’s a good thing for Tyler Glasnow in this case. This years version of the Nationals ARE striking out more and basically you’re dealing with CJ Abrams and maybe Joey Gallo hits a solo HR, that’s it, that’s the list. $11,000 is not too high of a price to pay for a very low risk Glasnow start. The challenge though is that given the hitting spots tonight, I think you can pivot off Glasnow to pair two others on DraftKings, that doesn’t make him not the #1 play though.
LUIS GIL (DK: $7400) … Really need some value out there tonight and there’s not a TON on the Blue Jays lineup which should scare us off this spot. Better to find a mid range SP2 than finding cheap bats today.
SETH LUGO (DK: $8400, FD: $9600) … Nothing about Lugo is exciting, but we get him against the White Sox once again & once again I would expect 6 innings and limited damage done against him.
GEORGE KIRBY (DK: $8900, FD: $8600) … The opposite of Lugo is Kirby with high strikeout potential but also quite a bit of risk as he has not pitched well so far in 2024 and the Reds come in with plenty of power in their lineup. The advantage Kirby has besides being at home is I expect the Reds to be undisciplined and aggressive against his Slider and Sinker which will allow him to get a 6+ strikeout performance and his best start since his first of the year when he posted a 32 on DraftKings against Boston (very similar to the Reds)
Other Pitching Notes
- Value option Ross Stripling comes into play against the Cardinals, who are going from their own big park to another big park here. Martin Perez was another guy who I think can just give you that crafty lefty boring start if you so desire. Neither really does much for me though.
- Merrill Kelly is not a bad play today – but his price puts him in no play zone.
NEW YORK YANKEES
Volpe, Judge, Rizzo
Aaron Judge has MURDERED the Jays in Toronto in his career. Cap it off with my belief that Toronto’s bullpen is very average (and below) and we’re expecting some Yankee production all series long.
HOUSTON ASTROS
Altuve, Alvarez, Diaz, McCormick
Houston will welcome former Astro draft pick Darius Vines in tonight, now a member of the Braves and getting a tough first start here vs a lineup starting to wake up. Vines has the ability to go 5+ tonight but following our rookie/unexperienced SP rule, we should be stacking against him with pleasure knowing he won’t actually make it out of the third inning.
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS
Cubs RHP Ben Brown has faced the Rockies at home and the Padres in PETCO. Going into Chase Field now with just two pitches under his belt is not something which should work in his favor. Love Corbin Caroll for Arizona tonight.
Other Spots to Look at:
Braves … The more I stare at this slate, the more I ask myself why aren’t the Braves the most obvious play on the board? They could easily wake up and hit 5 HR here tonight.
Royals … Love Melendez and Pasquantino. Not sure I would push anything more than those two, but MJ is hitting the ball hard just unlucky right now.
CATCHER
A mighty fine collection of randoms here on this Catcher Monday night…
- Gabriel Moreno
- Tyler Stephenson
- Yan Gomes
- Alejandro Kirk
FIRST BASE
- Matt Olson … Has hit a good number of HR in Houston from his Oakland days.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
- Anthony Rizzo
- Jake Cronenworth
SECOND BASE
- Ketel Marte
- Jose Altuve
- Ozzie Albies … This is a Mt. Rushmore event my friends. Ozzie Albies against Spencer Arrighetti. They just don’t make name match-ups like that every day anymore, embrace this one and I smell an Albies/Acuna heater coming sometime later this week.
THIRD BASE
- Nolan Arenado
- Austin Riley
- Abraham Toro
SHORTSTOP
- Willy Adames
- Jeremy Pena
- Oneil Cruz
OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore
- Corbin Carroll
- Aaron Judge
- Yordan Alvarez
- MJ Melendez
OUTFIELD – Value
- Cavan Biggio
- Jurickson Profar
- MJ Melendez – OF – Kansas City Royals – Chairman of The Dongers Club
- Aaron Judge – OF – NY Yankees
- Ozzie Albies – 2B – Braves
- Yan Gomes – C – Cubs
- Nolan Arenado – 3B – Cardinals
- Jeremy Pena – SS – Astros
- Matt Olson – 1B – Braves
- Corbin Carroll – OF – Diamondbacks
- BONUS ……………. Jurickson Profar – OF – Padres
You’ll need to build around a few value/punt options tonight. There really are a ton of higher priced guys who are in extremely good situations and the build tonight IMO should be focused on a CORE stack and then punt the other spots hoping for the best.
Include TWO value bats from your stacks tonight.
TOP BETS
Yankees -108
Pirates +105 … Anytime the Pirates are dogs until May, take them.
Braves/Astros OVER 10.5
Reds/Mariners UNDER 7