It’s an eight game Monday night main slate, with a few of the 6:40 PM EST games included in the MAIN slate tonight.
WEATHER
Tigers @ Royals – Chance of a lingering shower delaying start, but game should play just fine.
PABLO LOPEZ (DK: $9500, FD: 10.6k)
Lopez will check in as my #1 tonight with plenty of buffer between him and the rest of the crowd. Washington’s numbers of late have taken a big hit due to facing the Phillies pitching over the weekend, but let’s not void them starting guys like Winker/Gallo/Rosario as part of the problem and two of those guys just homered, so I think we’re kinda safe here with Lopez — an Ace pitcher — in a spot where you have a hard time convincing me he won’t go 7 innings in a quality start.
TANNER HOUCK (DK: $9100, FD: $10,800)
I kinda keep waiting for the Rays to stop being a free swinging, undisciplined team and it’s just not gonna happen. 26%+ strikeout rate over the last 10 days and they should have 4+ RHH tonight which favors Houck a good amount. 6 IP and 6 K should be a safe bet here for Tanner.
MICHAEL WACHA (DK: $6600, FD: $7600)
There is another cheap arm (Joe Ross) who is likely a popular choice, but between the two Ross’ blow up potential is much greater than Wacha pitching in Kauffman vs the Tigers. Not a ton of upside here, what you saw his last two starts is the ceiling on Wacha, but 2/3 of that production is good and Detroit’s a similar if not worse lineup than the last two he has faced. Plus, their best bat right now is Riley Greene, a lefty, which favors Wacha and his historically reverse splits.
Pitchers I expect to do well, but won’t use:
Yoshinobu Yamamoto, Sonny Gray, Dean Kremer
Risky Pitchers I want to use, but won’t:
Taj Bradley
Brewers vs Marlins
Congrats, we start the Monday off with Milwaukee and Miami scoring 13+ runs.
- Willy Adames, Christian Yelich, Jackson Choriou
- Bryan De La Cruz, Jake Burger
ANGELS
- Taylor Ward
- Jo Adell
Dodgers, Yankees, Astros
- Mookie Betts
- Anthony Rizzo
- Yordan Alvarez
This won’t sound very fun, but yes, these three big name lineups — each of which are at home — are all facing favorable spots tonight.
The one team who you might be shocked to hear me mention there is New York, against my guy Logan Gilbert. Gilbert’s been prone at times to giving up 2 or 3 homers early in games, and that’s the path for mentioning the Yankees today. It’s easily a spot where you could have 2+ guys hit homers and the team finishes with no more than 4 or 5 total runs.
Houston has gotten wake up performances from Kyle Tucker and Jose Altuve with the Yordan Alvarez and maybe even Alex Bregman big spots coming soon any day now.
The Dodgers. Well, this might be the time to pay up for Ohtani if ever there was one
CATCHER
- William Contreras
- Salvador Perez
- Will Smith
FIRST BASE
- Shohei Ohtani
- Anthony Rizzo
- Josh Bell
SECOND BASE
- Andruw Monasterio
- Michael Massey
- Josh Rojas
THIRD BASE
- Rafael Devers
- Nolan Arenado
- Jake Burger
SHORTSTOP
- Mookie Betts
- Willy Adames
OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore
- Christian Yelich
- Bryan De La Cruz
- Taylor Ward
- Aaron Judge
OUTFIELD – Value
- Jesus Sanchez
- Alec Burleson
- Jackson Chourio
- Taylor Ward – OF – Angels – Chairman of The Dongers Club
- Bryan De La Cruz – OF – Marlins
- Christian Yelich – OF – Brewers
- Anthony Rizzo – 1B – Yankees
- Mookie Betts – SS – Dodgers
- Josh Rojas – 2B – Mariners
- Salvador Perez – C – Royals
- Jake Burger – 3B – Marlins
- BONUS ….. Watch the Twins score 30 runs tonight.
TOP BETS
Reid Detmers under 4.5 strikeouts
Michael Wacha over 4.5 strikeouts
Milwaukee/Miami over 8.5
Yankees ML