The Dongers Club – May 20th

← The Dongers Club hub  ·  Daily MLB home run picks & DFS, since August 2020. Browse the archive or see how DCPA works.

It’s an eight game Monday night main slate, with a few of the 6:40 PM EST games included in the MAIN slate tonight.   WEATHER Tigers @ Royals – Chance of a lingering shower delaying start, but game should play just fine.   PABLO LOPEZ (DK: $9500, FD: 10.6k) Lopez will check in as my #1 tonight with plenty of buffer between him and the rest of the crowd.  Washington’s numbers of late have taken a big hit due to facing the Phillies pitching over the weekend, but let’s not void them starting guys like Winker/Gallo/Rosario as part of the problem and two of those guys just homered, so I think we’re kinda safe here with Lopez — an Ace pitcher — in a spot where you have a hard time convincing me he won’t go 7 innings in a quality start. TANNER HOUCK (DK: $9100, FD: $10,800) I kinda keep waiting for the Rays to stop being a free swinging, undisciplined team and it’s just not gonna happen.  26%+ strikeout rate over the last 10 days and they should have 4+ RHH tonight which favors Houck a good amount.  6 IP and 6 K should be a safe bet here for Tanner. MICHAEL WACHA (DK: $6600, FD: $7600) There is another cheap arm (Joe Ross) who is likely a popular choice, but between the two Ross’ blow up potential is much greater than Wacha pitching in Kauffman vs the Tigers.  Not a ton of upside here, what you saw his last two starts is the ceiling on Wacha, but 2/3 of that production is good and Detroit’s a similar if not worse lineup than the last two he has faced.  Plus, their best bat right now is Riley Greene, a lefty, which favors Wacha and his historically reverse splits. Pitchers I expect to do well, but won’t use: Yoshinobu Yamamoto, Sonny Gray, Dean Kremer Risky Pitchers I want to use, but won’t: Taj Bradley   Brewers vs Marlins Congrats, we start the Monday off with Milwaukee and Miami scoring 13+ runs. Willy Adames, Christian Yelich, Jackson Choriou Bryan De La Cruz, Jake Burger ANGELS Taylor Ward Jo Adell Dodgers, Yankees, Astros Mookie Betts Anthony Rizzo Yordan Alvarez This won’t sound very fun, but yes, these three big name lineups — each of which are at home — are all facing favorable spots tonight. The one team who you might be…...

Keep reading — and get the full war room.

The rest of this breakdown is for members. A subscription unlocks the entire Daily Ambush platform:

  • Command Center — your entire slate on one screen
  • Tier-graded stacks (A/B/C) with heatmap and pair analysis
  • Ambush Intel — named AI agents tracking live P/L, every sport
  • Batter vs. pitcher pitch arsenals, xwOBA splits, BvP history
  • Lineup optimizer with pro stack rules and exposure controls
  • SIM Matrix — Monte Carlo simulation engine

View Membership Options Already a member? Log in