The Dongers Club – June 18th

← The Dongers Club hub  ·  Daily MLB home run picks & DFS, since August 2020. Browse the archive or see how DCPA works.

CONTENT UPDATE:  There will be no article on Thursday, June 20th.  I’ll be driving in the late afternoon and looked at the slate of games that day and wont be forcing an article for the afternoon.   WEATHER SF/CHC:  Wind out again in Wrigley for the Giants/Cubs TB/MIN:  Flood watch, heavy rain.  PPD Risk.   ALEC MARSH (DK: $7600, FD: $8800) Homers have bitten Marsh at times, but this is a great spot to avoid that damage today.  Expect a very clean game with 6+ IP, 6+ strikeouts, a win and limited damage against him.  We lock him in on a thin pitching slate on the top end. FRAMBER VADLEZ (DK: $9300, FD: $9400) Should be able to navigate through the White Sox.  He’s better on the road. TANNER HOUCK (DK: $10,300, FD: $11,000) Houck is your best arm today and he is priced as such.  Toronto’s one of the worst lineups going right now as well, so he should be able to put that Hook Ta all over the Jays tonight.  I’ll see myself out. OTHER PITCHING THOUGHTS I really like Walker Buehler today.  Really do.  Won’t push it though, he just hasn’t looked comfortable.   ASTROS Jose Altuve, Alex Bregman, Yordan Alvarez, Jon Singleton RED SOX Jarren Duran, Rafael Devers RANGERS Corey Seager, Nathaniel Lowe, Adolis Garcia Always go opposite in the blowout     CATCHER Adley Rutschman Yainer DIaz Jake Rogers   FIRST BASE Ryan Mountcastle Nate Lowe Jonathan Singleton Andrew Vaughn   SECOND BASE Jose Altuve Enmanuel Valdz Miguel Rojas   THIRD BASE Not the deepest position, so I would take guys who look really good right now (Riley/Devers) and just put them on a tier above everyone else.  4100 for Bregman in a park the Astros generally hit well in is good value. Rafael Devers Austin Riley Alex Bregman   SHORTSTOP Francisco Lindor … Scorching hot Corey Seager Zach Neto Willy Adames   OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore Yordan Alvarez Jarren Duran Starling Marte Adolis Garcia   OUTFIELD – Tier Two Masataka Yoshida Mickey Moniak Austin Hays Jake Myers   JOSE ALTUVE – 2B – ASTROS – CHAIRMAN OF THE DONGERS CLUB Corey Seager – SS – Rangers Austin Riley – 3B – Braves Ryan Mountcastle – 1B – Orioles Jarren Duran – OF – Red Sox Starling Marte – OF – Mets Yordan Alvarez – OF – Astros Will Smith – C – Dodgers BONUS…...

Keep reading — and get the full war room.

The rest of this breakdown is for members. A subscription unlocks the entire Daily Ambush platform:

  • Command Center — your entire slate on one screen
  • Tier-graded stacks (A/B/C) with heatmap and pair analysis
  • Ambush Intel — named AI agents tracking live P/L, every sport
  • Batter vs. pitcher pitch arsenals, xwOBA splits, BvP history
  • Lineup optimizer with pro stack rules and exposure controls
  • SIM Matrix — Monte Carlo simulation engine

View Membership Options Already a member? Log in