WEATHER Possible Delays The Cleveland/Pittsburgh region is going to see some storms rolling through, but I would anticipate both games wind up playing. Pittsburgh is of more interest to us because Paul Skenes is pitching, so I wouldn’t be shocked if they just delayed and delayed and delayed before starting this one up. Wind Impact CWS @ DET: Heavy winds out out to left center field. ATL @ NYY: Winds out to LF TOR @ CLE: Winds out to RF The headline today is that Max Scherzer will be making his 2024 debut and will be doing it against the ice cold Royals, who I guess decided to flip me the middle finger and have just said to hell with hitting in Texas this season. He is not free, he is not expensive, he is not great, he is not bad. He is just there today. LOGAN WEBB (DK: $9500, FD: $9900) We could call this the Sunday Sleeper, because I doubt Webb is going to garner much ownership. It’s one of the outdoor/hot games, and that’s a viable issue but his change up has been better of late and the Giants will lean on their real Ace to avoid the sweep. PAUL SKENES (DK: $10k, FD: $10.4k) I personally have downgraded Skenes on the simple fact that the weather could become an issue and that’s even if they delay and he just sits around twiddling his thumbs all day long. Even with the downgrade though, he is still in the top 3 overall simply because Tampa Bay’s too damn swing happy to not expect him to push 7-8 strikeouts. AARON CIVALE (DK: $6800, FD: $7800) Similar rain concerns here as Skenes, but equal upside as the Pirates just do not have big game ability overall. In the cheap range, Civale is the best SP2 option. MAX FRIED (DK: $9500, FD: $10.1k) No Stanton does help limit the risk on Fried, but also kills a possible early strikeout. Fried’s outing today is entirely based on how he pitches Soto early, if Soto gets on, Judge will double him home. If Fried beats Soto, then Judge will likely get pitched around. I have confidence in my guy Fried to win. CINCINNATI REDS (& RED SOX) Friedl, De La Cruz, Steer I didn’t mention this game in the wind above because who really cares, it’s a small park and…...
Keep reading — and get the full war room.
The rest of this breakdown is for members. A subscription unlocks the entire Daily Ambush platform:
- Command Center — your entire slate on one screen
- Tier-graded stacks (A/B/C) with heatmap and pair analysis
- Ambush Intel — named AI agents tracking live P/L, every sport
- Batter vs. pitcher pitch arsenals, xwOBA splits, BvP history
- Lineup optimizer with pro stack rules and exposure controls
- SIM Matrix — Monte Carlo simulation engine
