WEATHER It will get ugly in Chicago and I’m not just referring to Thomas Pham being a douchebag. Given the heavy ticket draw at the gate on this one we could see them PPD it and play it on a later date. I suggest a Friday afternoon at 2PM. Thanks… GEORGE KIRBY (DK: $8800, FD: $9600) Last night MacKenzie Gore did not rate as well on the model as he did in my lunatic head, and tonight Kirby does not rate as well as he does in my lunatic head. The key difference is that the obvious reason last night was the Mets top 4 grading well, where as tonight the Athletics top 4 in the coliseum are nowhere near as high. So late tonight I know that a gem pitching performance is out there and it’s not exactly in hiding as my lunatic fringe mind gets it’s redemption. MAX FRIED (DK: $9000, FD: $9900) A 10k pitcher who is 9k… No other way to put it, this remains a buy low play. CORBIN BURNES (DK: $10000, FD: 10000) Easy outs. Vogelbach, Varsho, IKF, Kiermaier. Those are spots that should allow Burnes to churn right along to another 7 inning outing as the Orioles continue to push him further along and save up on their bullpen when they don’t need it. The only risk is that they might be up by 15 after the third inning and decide to let Jordan Westburg pitch instead. MITCH SPENCE (DK: $6500, FD: $6900) What’s better than a 10:05 EST game stack in Oakland Alameda County Stadium? Absolutely NOTHING my friends. Fear not as your lineup has 6 home runs and both your pitchers are sitting there yet to start, they will not get negative, not on my watch. Spence is good for 75-80 pitches & Seattle does not hit in Oakland. SP2 pairing with Kirby or Burnes. OTHER PITCHING THOUGHTS Frankie Montas is a better play than you want to admit tonight. If you can miss bats in Coors you will be fine and he should be fine. He gets lit up obviously when he leaves the ball up, but the walks and not the homers are what I would be worried with. Get to know the new guy: San Diego promoted Adam Mazur, a 6’2 RHP who pitched for South Dakota State and Iowa in college and reminds me a ton…...
Keep reading — and get the full war room.
The rest of this breakdown is for members. A subscription unlocks the entire Daily Ambush platform:
- Command Center — your entire slate on one screen
- Tier-graded stacks (A/B/C) with heatmap and pair analysis
- Ambush Intel — named AI agents tracking live P/L, every sport
- Batter vs. pitcher pitch arsenals, xwOBA splits, BvP history
- Lineup optimizer with pro stack rules and exposure controls
- SIM Matrix — Monte Carlo simulation engine
