Six game early/afternoon slate today. Major credit to both sites for putting together a competent slate here as we have an East coast game, then two central games, a west coast game in Chase Field and then back to two east coast 4PM games in Philly and DC. A nice little twist for those of us whose brains work right to left time-zone wise on the start times.
WEATHER
Mets at Nationals: Thunderstorms could cause delay but the game should finish.
Brewers at Phillies: Similar, but feels less risky.
Roofs closed in Houston and Arizona
This is one of those slates where focusing on who is going to throw 6+ IP and get 6+ strikeouts is enough to get you past the finish line. This requires ignoring a couple specific hitters that could take them deep as well
AARON NOLA (DK: $10500, FD: $10600)
I am fairly certain of a specific player in the Milwaukee lineup that is going to homer off Nola. But I am also finding it impossible to identify enough pitching to say we can fade Nola with that. Expect me to use Nola and that hitter today, because Nola will finish with 7 innings, 2 ER, 8 strikeouts. That’s perfection on this slate.
SP2 …
Look. I was going to outline the options for our SP2 today, but rather than go into details and specifics, watch this classic clip from the Princess Bride, it will sum it up best.
The bottom line here besides never getting into a land war in Asia, is that they’re all shitty, but we’ve all played MLB DFS long enough to be immune to a negative score here or there.
No, we aren’t using Patrick Corbin. Don’t be silly.
Nor are we using Aaron Ashby, he’s probably gonna get pulled too early.
Spencer Schwellenbach? No, cmon.
Ladies and Gentlemen.
We’re using Dakota Hudson
ASTROS
Yordan Alvarez, Alex Bregman, Jake Meyers
We would be stupid to not like both Yordan Alvarez (5k) and Alex Bregman (4k) once again. Mikolas shouldn’t strike much fear in either of them and at a minimum you’ll get singles/walks/runs, but there is viable double or homer upside to consider. Unless this game magically goes under after two overs I don’t see Houston managing to not get 4+ off Mikolas…
METS
Francisco Lindor, JD Martinez, Pete Alonso, Harrison Bader
Despite popular belief, Patrick Corbin has not been the worst pitcher in Baseball this year. He has given Washington exactly what they hope to get out of him, someone to go out there and earn his living for a good 60-90 minutes each night. Does he get blown up at times? Sure. Should the Mets who have hit lefties well of late crush him here? Yeah, they should. Will they? Okay, yeah, they probably will…
CATCHER
For DFS purposes, it’s probably a wiser move to pay down here, but JT Realmuto should get the start today and is a good play for prop bets.
- JT Realmuto
- Keibert Ruiz
- Ivan Herrera
FIRST BASE
- Joey Gallo
- Pete Alonso
- Wilmer Flores
SECOND BASE
- Nolan Gorman … $3700, while Jose Altuve is $5300. Comical.
- Brendan Rodgers
- Jonathan India … Would be much better if he ever got a top of order lineup spot again.
THIRD BASE
- Matt Chapman
- Alex Bregman
- Rafael Devers … Here’s Raffy Devers walking into the clubhouse today and looking at the notes on the opposing pitcher which reads “SPENCER SCHWELLENBACH”
SHORTSTOP
- Francisco Lindor
- Elly De La Cruz
- Jeremy Pena
OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore
- Christian Yelich
- Yordan Alvarez
- J.D. Martinez
- Jake Fraley
OUTFIELD – Value
- Jarred Kelenic
- Christian Pache
- Heliot Ramos
- Jarred Kelenic – OF – Atlanta Braves – Chairman of The Dongers Club
- Christian Yelich – OF – Brewers
- Yordan Alvarez – OF – Astros
- Joey Gallo – 1B – Nationals
- JT Realmuto – C – Phillies
- Nolan Gorman – 2B – Cardinals
- Francisco Lindor – SS – Mets
- Matt Chapman – 3B – Giants
- BONUS … Rafael Devers – 3B – Red Sox
TOP BETS
- Giants/Diamondbacks under 8.5
- Brewers/Phillies under 9
- Red Sox ML
- Rockies ML