MLB · July 16, 2024

2024 MLB All Star Game

This is just my quick analysis on the MLB All-Star game tonight.  I won’t be out here trying to pound my chest over an exhibition game, but it’s a fun spot to maybe place some bets or do a Showdown lineup or ten…

AMERICAN LEAGUE HITTERS

BO Starter Pos Backup(s)*
1 Kwan LF Duran, Castro
2 Henderson SS Seager, Witt Jr.
3 Soto RF Santander
4 Judge CF Greene
5 Alvarez DH
6 Ramirez 3B Westburg, Paredes
7 Guerrero Jr 1B Naylor
8 Rutschman C Fry, Perez
9 Semien 2B Westburg, Paredes

 

STARTERS

  • Aaron Judge, Juan Soto, Vlad Guerrero:  Each of these guys have MVP upside and they’ll all definitely get 2 and in the case of Soto and Judge, maybe 3 PA.
  • Yordan Alvarez:  The challenge here is that DH is obviously the easiest position to PH for twice and not put the guys into the game, but he’s gonna get a couple AB and hits well in this park

RESERVE THOUGHTS

  • With both Corey Seager and Bobby Witt Jr. having big time incentive to get into this game (Seager for home team and Witt being a Dallas/TX native) we have to expect Gunnar Henderson to have a short night or both of those reserves to get into the game early.
  • Catcher is interesting because you would think as a veteran of the team, Salvador Perez deserves to catch behind the plate for a few innings, which means David Fry becomes a potential DH or generic pinch hitter and then he is done.  Thus, Fry is a fade.
  • It does setup though that there is a J-Ram, Naylor, Fry stack at the bottom of the order at one point.
  • Westberg, Paredes, Castro likely get deployed late in the game.
  • Riley Greene should replace Judge in CF and Duran should replace Kwan.  Dont be shocked if Duran is a PR though for someone else and they use Castro in LF after him.  Which makes Duran a fade.

 

NATIONAL LEAGUE HITTERS

BO Starter Pos Backup(s)*
1 Marte 2B Arraez
2 Ohtani DH
3 Turner SS Abrams, De La Cruz
4 Harper 1B Freeman, Alonso
5 Contreras C Smith
6 Yelich RF Ozuna
7 Bohm 3B McMahon
8 Hernandez CF Merill, Ramos
9 Profar LF Reynolds

 

STARTERS 

  • Turner and Harper both have heavy bats behind them, but likely have a DH going in there as well.
  • Teoscar Hernandez, sorry for doubting you early last night, but you aren’t a true CF.  Jackson Merill is gonna take over there early.
  • Gotta like Ohtani, Marte and Harper/Contreras the most.  Christian Yelich is a sneaky play though, as I bet he gets 2 good AB vs a RHP.

 

RESERVE THOUGHTS

  • The OF (Merill, Ramos, Reynolds) are gonna come in early, these are the prime spots to look at.  All are gonna make a splash IMO.
  • Does the NL just deploy Elly as a PR?  I doubt it, gotta let him swing and play the position, which means CJ Abrams might be a third DH after Alonso or Freeman PH for Ohtani.  All bad scenarios for Abrams.

 

PREDICTIONS

American League is loaded, but the All-Star game always gets controlled by the pitching and every pitcher should see time in this game.  I’ll give the edge to the American League winning 5-2.

Favorite DFS Hitters:

  • Aaron Judge
  • Vlad Guerrero Jr
  • Corey Seager
  • Christian Yelich
  • Jackson Merrill

Favorite DFS Pitchers:

  • Paul Skenes
  • Cole Ragans
  • Tarik Skubal
  • Emmanuel Clase

Home Run Predictions:

  • Aaron Judge
  • Jackson Merrill

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