MLB · July 12, 2024

The Dongers Club – July 12th

WEATHER

Two spots to monitor tonight for delays or even PPD risk.  I would think both wait things out and get their games in though.

  • Rockies at Mets
  • Yankees at Orioles

 

JOE RYAN (DK: $9800, FD: $9800)

Ryan is only $400 off Sonny Gray as the high end pitcher tonight but he’s got the Giants in San Francisco – that is a little easier to stomach than a pitcher in the Cubs/Cardinals rivalry in hot St. Louis.

COLE RAGANS (DK: $8500, FD: $10,200)

While Boston has been hitting well of late and hits well at home, they are still prone to whiff a good amount and are still a LH heavy lineup that needs another RH bat to balance things out more.  The park isn’t always favorable to lefties pitchers, but the strength of Ragans against Devers, Durran, Yoshida, Abreu if they’re all in should benefit him to deliver for Kansas City tonight.

GARRETT CROCHET (DK: $10,300, FD: $11,000)

I really put a little too much emphasis on when a team has or has not seen a specific hand split of late and in the case of the Pirates they have only had 13 PA in the last week against LHP.  Combining that with the nasty ability of Crochet is probably not to their advantage tonight so we could be looking at a real easy 30 point game from him.

OTHER PITCHING THOUGHTS

  • Best Under 8K Crowd includes:  Tyler Anderson, Yonny Chirinos, and the guy below
  • I kinda want to say Marco Gonzales is gonna be a nice cheap SP2 today, but how much we get out of him coming off IL assuming he is the Pirates starter.

 

TOP TEAMS

ROYALS:  Bobby Witt, Salvador Perez, Maikel Garcia

There is no specific reason why the Royals got so cold on the road in May and June because they should hit well when going into smaller parks like Fenway where they can just hit line drive after line drive off the monster for hits.  The signs are pointing to them turning it around on the road as they go to wrap up a long road trip this weekend and I’m gonna be a homer expecting some big offensive games.

MARLINS:  Jazz Chisholm Jr, Jesus Sanchez, Josh Bell, Jake Burger, BDLC

Big time break for the Marlins avoiding Hunter Greene here, they’ll feast on Carson Spiers and with some good high $ pitching this has enough value in the lineup to make them a good core team.  The other CORE value team would be Angels (Schanuel, Moniak, Calhoun)

SECOND TIER TEAMS

  • METS:  Lindor, Nimmo — Rookie pitcher making his debut.  Fresh meat boys, just gotta hold off the weather.
  • CARDINALS:  Arenado, Donovan — Kyle Hendricks has a long history of owning the Cardinals, but even that trend has to die eventually.

 

CATCHER

  1. Salvador Perez
  2. Danny Jansen
  3. Keibert Ruiz

 

FIRST BASE

  1. Josh Bell
  2. Vinnie Paquantino
  3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

 

SECOND BASE

  1. Jose Altuve
  2. Brice Turang
  3. Marcus Semien
  4. Jorge Polanco

 

THIRD BASE

  1. Nolan Arenado
  2. Maikel Garcia
  3. Jake Burger

 

SHORTSTOP

  1. Bobby Witt Jr.
  2. Xavier Edwards
  3. Elly De La Cruz

 

OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore

  1. George Springer – Toronto is a sneaky stack I didn’t really have full confidence to list out.  Springer’s been quietly good of late.
  2. Brandon Nimmo
  3. Jazz Chisholm Jr.
  4. Manny Margot

 

OUTFIELD – Tier II

  1. Aaron Judge
  2. Eloy Jimenez
  3. Jesus Sanchez
  4. Ian Happ
  5. Willie Calhoun
  6. Joc Pederson

 

  1. Nolan Arenado – 3B – St. Louis Cardinals – Chairman of The Dongers Club
  2. Salvador Perez – C – Royals
  3. Josh Bell – 1B – Marlins
  4. Jazz Chisholm Jr – OF – Marlins
  5. Jose Altuve – 2B – Astros
  6. George Springer – OF – Blue Jays
  7. Aaron Judge – OF – Yankees
  8. Elly De La Cruz – SS – Reds
  9. BONUS ………………….. Brice Turang – 2B – Brewers

 

Great night to build 3-2-1-1-1 type build.  That 3 should have at least one value bat as I would not punt on both SP1 and SP2

TOP BETS

  • Marlins ML
  • Royals ML
  • Angels ML
  • Braves ML

← More MLB articles