WEATHER DET at MIN: Mother Nature has seen that the Tigers are letting Kenta Maeda pitch against his former team on the 4th of July and said, no, I cannot allow this level of destruction to occur. This game has high PPD chances today. All other games play MAX SCHERZER (DK: $8800, FD: $9200) The historical narrative on Scherzer is that he’ll give up 2 HR to lefties each time out while striking out 35% of the batters. That’s Max of about 4-5 years ago and this new Max coming off the IL seems to be pitching with his brain like all great veteran pitchers do. Book makers are smart here, as they have his SO prop only set to 4.5, but you can expect even without hitting a high strikeout volume Max will pitch well and navigate his 80-85 pitches effectively giving Texas 6 IP and limited damage against. NICK PIVETTA (DK: $8600, FD: $8700) Pivetta has been OFF lately and he is just falling behind way too much and has no real control. I’m willing to take a gamble here because the Marlins have been swinging early and could help him get ahead and gain comfort. When Pivetta gets to 0-1, he almost has a 50% strikeout rate in the AB, but when he doesn’t it generally leads to him giving up hits. CHRIS BASSITT (DK: $8000, FD: $9400) Backing Canada’s team on the 4th of July when they should not have a home game just feels gross. Knowing a white hot Yordan Alvarez is not going to get out against Chris Bassitt is equally gross. But it’s not that warm up in Toronto (roof probably open) & the Astros just do not have the lefties to make this an uncomfortable game for Bassitt. He can gives us 6, and he HAS to give Toronto’s depleted bullpen that and maybe more. Other Pitching Thoughts I am strongly considering Stroman. He seems like the type to stop the Yankees losing streak with a big performance like 7 innings, 3 hits, 1 ER, 5 strikeouts. But my mind cannot get past some struggles or limitations against the Reds who do not strike out a ton and have two big hitters that look great here (Elly & Candelario). GUARDIANS Jose Ramirez, Jhonkensy Noel, Josh Naylor Hot, Humid and lots of easy value to fit around the 3-headed trio…...
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