The Dongers Club – July 6th

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Most likely just this one article for the 4PM afternoon/MAIN slate today.  I doubt I’ll be able to get a 7PM article/lineup in tonight, so look at the end of this article for some quick thoughts on those games. For the early 1PM games, here’s what stands out to me I stand with my system plays and Yankees afternoon games on Saturdays after the Friday night games are unders.  The Devers vs Cole HR is definitely in play though and this game may not even start/play due to storms and rain – or if it does, they should have a delay mid game. Hunter Brown vs Joe Ryan is elite pitching upside.  Bregman has multi-hit game though. Angels/Cubs over. WEATHER Slight chance of late storms between Cardinals and Nationals, otherwise all clear.   You can really break the group of pitching down into three tiers today.  The first tier is a group of four guys $8500 and above, each of whom are getting favorable xWOBA match-ups by hand split and three of them have favorable strikeout potential today.  Those three are Garrett Crochet, Hunter Greene and Taj Bradley.  Let’s just go ahead and get the obvious one out of the way.  That would be a NO on Hunter Greene today my friends. Next we evaluate if we’re trusting Taj Bradley to keep rolling along like he has been and I see no reason why he wont but I do like the SP on the other side — Andrew Heaney. Garrett Crochet vs the Marlins in South Beach on a Saturday Afternoon.  Is anyone actually going to this game?  He might be 80% owned considering we saw Cole Ragans as almost 50% owned in Coors last night, granted this is a little more pricey on Crochet, but he’s a 30 spot waiting to drop. The fourth guy I didn’t mention is MacKenzie Gore — my guy.  Late storms & a Goldy homer bother me with Gore today. The second tier of arms includes Yonny Chirinos (limited upside) and Cade Povich (no).  Model likes both, I prefer a cheaper guy in tier 3. Tier 3, as you can guess it, is Mr. Andrew Heaney.  Sometimes good, Sometimes Shit.  I expect the good from him today. Overall SP Rankings Garrett Crochet Andrew Heaney Taj Bradley   TOP TEAMS METS:  Pete Alonso, Francisco Lindor, Mark Vientos Once the Mets have knocked Falter out of the game and…...

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