WEATHER
Atlanta @ Arizona: For some reason the roof is CLOSED in Arizona. It’s only 110+ degrees. Wimps!
CHRIS SALE (DK: $10,500, FD: $11,500)
We don’t HAVE To lock in Sale tonight, but what else are you gonna do when he has 10 more points than any other pitcher? Not a 30 spot, but definitely a 20 coming tonight.
ANDREW ABBOTT (DK: $8200, FD: $9500)
Get used to me typing up a pitcher and then listing hitters below. I really like Brendan Rodgers tonight, he’s got great metrics here, is cheap and should hit with some men on base tonight. But Abbott can and should benefit by the Rockies 40% strikeout rate vs LHP of late and he has been great at facing lefties himself which negates Blackmon/McMahon/Jones, three of the better Rockie power bats.
KEIDER MONTERO (DK: $4000)
For some reason DraftKings has someone who has made three starts lately priced as just $4,000. Most of the time we say why the hell take a floor pitcher, but this is an ugly slate for pitching upside and you can just basically punt him at $4k to take the safety of Sale getting a 22. The math is this. Sale 22, Montero 5, total 27 for 14k. Or some combination like Jon Gray and Andrew Abbott for 15k and they combined get you a 13 and a 11, 24 points. Sure, Montero gives up a homer to J-Ram or gives up 4 ER, he also gets through 4 IP and strikes out 3. He’s free. It’s worth taking the shot.
OTHER PITCHING THOUGHTS
Jon Gray: Gray is more of a FanDuel pick here, where you are punting off Sale and hoping for a better Gray game than what he has done through June/July. Gray’s been terrible with getting strikeouts, he is basically a long time shell of his former self. I see no reason to really go here.
TOP TEAMS
TWINS: Byron Buxton, Max Kepler, Brooks Lee
The three individual bats I like the most here are in the mid-range, so it’s good were on the road and won’t lose a 9th inning AB. I expect a big series from Buxton, he is locked in right now and as long as he can avoid getting hurt he could have a huge week.
SECOND TIER TEAMS
BRAVES: Austin Riley, Sean Murphy
REDS: Elly De La Cruz, Jonathan India, Jeimer Candelario
CATCHER
- Sean Murphy
- Elias Diaz
- Gabriel Moreno
FIRST BASE
- Andrew Vaughn
- Nolan Schanuel
- Josh Naylor
SECOND BASE
- Brendan Rodgers
- Jonathan India
- Ozzie Albies
THIRD BASE
Just for those tracking, Anthony Rendon is back and might play tonight. I give him 3.5 days until he decides to go back on the IL.
- Austin Riley … 10 games, 5 Homers in Chase Field history. Hitting great of late too.
- Noelvi Marte
- Brooks Lee
- Jose Ramirez … Remember that Yordan Alvarez i was gonna chase forever and finally came on a Monday? Feels the same.
SHORTSTOP
- Corey Seager … Until DraftKings slides him up to $6k he is going to be an almost too hard to pass up pick when facing anyone who has some type of pulse on them and he himself is healthy. This is a good park for lefties as well.
- Elly De La Cruz … Ryan Feltner on the bump means we can target some stolen bases and nobody better to do that with than EDLC.
- Paul DeJong
- Carlos Correa – Questionable
OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore
- Byron Buxton
- Eloy Jimenez
- Max Kepler
- Luis Robert Jr
OUTFIELD – Tier II
- Jarred Kelenic
- Steven Kwean
- Riley Greene
- Andrew Vaughn – 1B – White Sox – Chairman of The Dongers Club
- Eloy Jimenez – OF – White Sox
- Byron Buxton – OF – Twins
- Austin Riley – 3B – Braves
- Sean Murphy – C – Braves
- Elly De La Cruz – SS – Reds
- Brendan Rodgers – 2B – Rockies
- BONUS … Elias Diaz – C – Rockies
FAVORITE ONE OFFS
C: Sean Murphy
1B: Andrew Vaughn
SS: Elly De La Cruz
TOP BETS
Twins/White Sox OVER 9
Angels ML