A great day with the 11am game already off and gone, but there’s too many 6:45 games coming up this week which will ruin Tuesday and Friday slates. Luckily tonight DraftKings and FanDuel have the slates locking at 6:40 PM to include these early games.
WEATHER
- Padres at Tigers: We have the Comerica Park Wind Factor today. Wind blowing out to left field (not quite Left Center) and its OVER 14 MPH. These conditions have historically really paid off for offense & especially in night games.
- Blue Jays at Astros: Roof will be closed
NICK LODOLO (DK: $8700, FD: $8700)
Miami is continuing to roll out new young kids and likely has a couple more in today. If Lodolo has a good feel on his breaking ball he’ll get right through this lineup — maybe a double to Dane Meyers to make him sweat with two outs, but nothing more then that. Should be a 6+ strikeout game.
ROBBIE RAY (DK: $7500, FD: $8400)
This is like Linus and his blanket for Robbie Ray. After three east coast time zone starts and one versus his former team (Mariners), Ray is back on the West Coast, in San Francisco and at night against the random Brewers. He’s cheaper because of some struggle starts and is still prime for the Robbie Ray after dark experience where he’ll have 8 strikeouts and then walk the bases loaded in the top of the 5th only to get out of it with 3 more strikeouts.
OTHER PITCHING THOUGHTS
- I don’t have a ton of concerns with Schellenbach, Gausman, Nola, but there’s too many good bats in most of the opposing lineups to rank them ahead of Lodolo/Ray tonight. Yeah, even Schwelly against the Cards.
PADRES
Tatis, Machado, Bogaerts, Wade
Keider Montero and the wind == homers galore for Detroit. Tatis is the best hitter in Baseball at the moment, Machado/Bogaerts both should pull with hard contact & Tyler Wade will triple if he gets one into the outfield.
TIGERS
Carpenter, McKinstry, Torkelson, Greene
Wind boost also helps the home team of course & Randy Vasquez is the one wart in the Padres pitching. Detroit should hit him just fine.
BRAVES
Olson, Harris, Verdugo
Soft tosser Fedde, so we go with Olson, Harris and … *gulp* Verdugo? No, we banned him…
CATCHER
- Patrick Bailey
- Elias Diaz
- Alejandro Kirk
FIRST BASE
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
- Spencer Torkelson
- Alec Burleson
SECOND BASE
- Nolan Gorman
- Tyler Wade
- Jose Iglesias
THIRD BASE
- Manny Machado
- Nolan Arenado
- Zack McKinstry
SHORTSTOP
Elly is arguably the #1 play tonight — just expensive. I dont think he homers, but he’ll get on and steal about 3+ bags tonight with Agustin Ramirez making his debut behind the plate — he isn’t known to be a great defensive prospect. We can bet Castellanos to HR tonight for good reason, but Elly to steal is the prop to play today.
- Elly De La Cruz
- Xander Bogaerts
- Bo Bichette
OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore
- Nick Castellanos … Duh
- Fernando Tatis Jr.
- Kerry Carpenter
- Michael Harris II
OUTFIELD – Tier II
- Riley Greene .. Still slumping, tonight could be the breakout night.
- Juan Soto
- TJ Friedl
- Alex Verdugo
- Nick Castellanos – OF – Philadelphia Phillies – Chairman of The Dongers Club
- Fernando Tatis – OF – Padres
- Manny Machado – 3B – Padres
- Riley Greene – OF – Tigers
- Vlad Guerrero Jr – 1B – Blue Jays
TOP BETS
- Props Parlay – Elly De La Cruz to Steal a Base + Nick Castellanos HR
- Padres/Tigers OVER 8
- Cincinnati ML -125
- St. Louis ML +160