MLB · April 29, 2025

The Dongers Club – April 29th

Four early, Ten main and one random game out in Cleveland.

WEATHER

Nothing significant.  A little wind here and there but generally okay.

On a weather front

 

It’s opener season ladies and gentlemen.  The Athletics, Dodgers, White Sox will all be going with make shift setups today.

GARRETT CROCHET (DK: $10.5k, FD: $10.6k)

Tough park, blah blah blah.  Jays dont strikeout, blah blah blah.  The walks are Crochet’s achillies heel and in a few weeks when Yasmani Grandal is added onto the roster that will calm down.  But he’s not yet, so the walks need to come down for Crochet to be your clear #1 today.  Even with the walks out there though, I would not expect Crochet to have two straight rough outings.  He bounces back tonight & for that reason is our #1.

JACOB DEGROM (DK: $8800, FD: $9400)

I am going to take this bait here.  It’s a pass night on me for the Webb/Pivetta match-up & Crochet against the Jays will be good and probably an okay pay up along with Peralta too.  However, the safety that deGrom should bring is what I trust.  Facing the SP twice in a row can be considered advantage for hitting – this however, is a veteran pitcher against a relatively young lineup.  Advantage pitcher.  0 runs, and he flirts with a no hitter tonight for 5 innings and then he’s gotta go rest that arm.

BRYCE MILLER (DK: $8200, FD: $9100)

DraftKings did not help us with a cheap SP2 choice today, so pairing Miller and another mid range (deGrom) option is something you may find yourself doing.  Trust him at home even with Trout coming into Seattle for his annual beatdown on Mariners pitching in that stadium.  Fine, one guy, we move on and then Miller finishes with 18+ DK FPTS.  Tonight, that’s just fine.

OTHER PITCHING THOUGHTS

  • E-Fraud pitches way better than he should, he’s also way more expensive than he should be.
  • Webb/Pivetta are fades
  • Alcantara at 7K is tempting.  Very tempting.

 

RED SOX

Duran, Devers, Abreu, Story, Casas

Bowden Francis against the Sox lefties in this stadium is a disaster waiting to happen.  Please explain how Devers is only 4700???

ROYALS / RAYS

I would anticipate someone out there thinking Lorenzen is your cheap SP2 tonight.  Night game in Tampa making it hard to see?  Nah, it’s getting lighter later and I want all the heat in this game as the Royals going into warm weather is the timeless tradition of them finally looking good offensively.   Taj Bradley has someone lost his swing and miss ability — which could come back, but everything starts and ends with India and Pasquantino.

For the Rays, two bats stand out.  Christopher Morel and Jonathan Aranda.  Morel is the one I really like

BRAVES

They’re finally playing better because they’re also playing lesser competition.  If Eddie Rosario (he’s back) is in the lineup he’s your chalk free square at $2200.  Riley is cold again, so this comes down to taking Verdugo, Olson and Ozuna and hoping for the homers.

 

 

CATCHER

  1. Salvador Perez
  2. Carlos Narvaez
  3. Gabriel Moreno

 

FIRST BASE

  1. Vinnie Pasquantino
  2. Jonathan Aranda
  3. Matt Olson
  4. Triston Casas

 

SECOND BASE

  1. Brandon Lowe
  2. Alex Bregman
  3. Michael Massey

 

THIRD BASE

  1. Manny Machado
  2. Rafael Devers
  3. Jonathan India

 

SHORTSTOP

  1. Bobby Witt Jr.
  2. Willy Adames
  3. Trevor Story

 

OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore

  1. Christopher Morel
  2. Marcell Ozuna
  3. Riley Greene … Thanks for … reducing his price?
  4. Wilyer Abreu

 

OUTFIELD – Tier II

  1. Yordan Alvarez
  2. Jarren Duran
  3. Christian Yelich
  4. Mickey Moniak

 

  1. Wilyer Abreu – OF – Boston Red Sox – Chairman of The Dongers Club
  2. Manny Machado – 3B – Padres
  3. Willy Adames – SS – Giants
  4. Vinnie Pasquantino – 1B – Royals
  5. Salvador Perez – C – Royals
  6. Christopher Morel – OF – Rays
  7. Mickey Moniak – OF – Rockies
  8. Brandon Lowe – 2B – Rays
  9. BONUS ………….. Riley Greene – OF – Tigers

 

TOP BETS

Royals/Rays OVER 8.5

Yankees/Orioles OVER 9.5 (Turbo)

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