A very happy Mothers Day and remember that Chicks dig the long ball, so maybe we get a ton of homers today? The return of the Noon game is back as we miss out on a Sunday Citi Field over spot which is sure to hit by the 5th inning as Boyd and Canning square off early.
WEATHER
Brewers at Rays: Time to get used to Tampa home games having weather concerns but will always play.
I told you all MacKenzie Gore was an elite Cy Young caliber pitcher. Yes, I said it back in like, 2019, but still, we finally made it. He is 10k today! And against the Cardinals who are not the worst team vs LHP, but moving on after him we have lots of good options, including …
CHRIS SALE (DK: $9600, FD: $10,400)
I honestly thought Sale would drop off a little bit this season. He’s in prime Sale auto play form right now. Three straight 100+ pitch games with just 4 walks and 20 strikeouts over the last two. Sure, the opponents help but the Pirates are also hitting just .172 vs LHP over the last 10 days, not exactly a shift in the wrong direction here and a good park for lefty pitchers typically.
REESE OLSON (DK: $8300, FD: $9000)
There is a bigger ‘name’ for the historical MLB players listed below. Olson is better right now. If they re-made another version of moneyball but did it about pitchers, Olson would be the guy that they are talking about when they say, “why do we like Olson”? Because he keeps the ball in the park. Congrats to Texas on their 10 run outburst on Saturday and congrats to Joc on his homer. Back to reality today. This is an OK spot to game stack pitchers, but I have a less than confident feeling on Eovaldi.
THE SUNDAY SLEEPER
It’s SEAN BURKE (DK: $5300) but I am not sure how much of a ‘Sleeper’ he is, nor am I really thinking that there’s too much of a difference here in using him at the cheap price or a more secure option like Olson.
OTHER PITCHING THOUGHTS
- SANDY ALCANTARA: It’s likely he is chalk and it’s admittedly bad chalk, but I am still going to tout it and here’s why. Sandy’s struggles this season have been very pinpointed, he has either found himself in too deep of pitch counts early or he has been hammered by lefties. Well, the White Sox aren’t a big walk team and they don’t really have any lefty talent at all. Quite honestly, they don’t have much righty talent either, but that’s beside the point here. SEAN BURKE is the better pitcher right now, he is facing an equally bad lineup, he is the $3k cheaper arm. He makes way more sense.
- NATE EOVALDI: We would rather have Eovaldi when not facing a team that has a core of lefties at the top of the lineup.
HOUSTON
Christian Walker, Isaac Paredes, Yainer Diaz
Welcome back Chase Petty, as he returns for a second start to fill in for Hunter Greene. He didn’t show much in the big league level the first time, nor did he in the Spring & I would think that it continues here. The velocity is okay but when he doesn’t hit over 96 mph then the ball just gets crushed. Walker should murder him.
NEXT BEST SPOTS
Reds, Braves, Rays, Twins, Royals, Red Sox … These four are all decent, not fantastic by any stretch with the REDS leading the way in that Houston game (so yes, we like the over again).
The Red Sox/Royals game is one where the ball should carry decently. Not quite summer in Kauffman, but getitng there. Lugo’s not done well in his career versus Boston.
CATCHER
- Yainer Diaz … Clear cut the top pick at $3300 to fill in with the Houston stack.
- Salvador Perez … Price has come down. Last nights Chairman. You know the drill here…
- Drake Baldwin
FIRST BASE
- Christian Walker
- Nate Lowe
SECOND BASE
- Brandon Lowe
- Michael Massey
- Alex Bregman
THIRD BASE
- Nolan Arenado
- Rafael Devers
- Isaac Paredes
SHORTSTOP
Pretty deep position, however the top heavy aspect of Elly and Bobby is really good. Elly should have his get on base, steal, steal, score early in the game today.
- Elly De La Cruz
- Bobby Witt Jr.
- Jeremy Pena
- CJ Abrams
OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore
- Wilyer Abreu
- James Wood
- Byron Buxton
- Riley Greene
OUTFIELD – Tier II
- Michael Harris II
- Christian Yelich
- Jose Altuve
- Gavin Lux
- Christian Walker – 1B – Houston Astros – Chairman of The Dongers Club
- Nolan Arenado – 3B – Cardinals
- Elly De La Cruz – SS – Reds
- Wilyer Abreu – OF – Red Sox
- Byron Buxton – OF – Twins
- James Wood – OF – Nationals
- Brandon Lowe – 2B – Rays
- Yainer Diaz – C- Astros
- BONUS ………………. Rafael Devers – 3B – Red Sox
TOP BETS
Reds/Astros OVER 8.5
Detroit Tigers ML
Red Sox/Royals OVER 8.5