WEATHER
East coast rain all week and the bulk of the bad games are on the Turbo/Early slate today.
PIT @ NYM: This one feels like it could get PPD or find a way to play through the rain.
MAX FRIED (DK: $10,500, FD: $10,800) … Born on the west coast and going into a pitcher friendly stadium, one that for good pitchers with consistent stuff is an almost automatic 7 inning extremely quality start.
DYLAN CEASE (DK: $8300, FD: $9000)
Gotta be a popular pick here, and I would think he is higher owned than Fried, which makes me like Fried more. In fact, Fried is not even a question tonight, lock him in. So the debate here is between Cease and a secondary option (i.e. Brown below) and really it’s Cease by a mile because the gap after Fried/Cease IMO is a big one tonight.
BEN BROWN (DK: $7500, FD: $8300)
I’m really not in love with Brown much yet, he hasn’t really shown the ability to go deep into a game consistently and it hasn’t been because of PC limitations at all. Overall the results have been nice and the Marlins lineup in a night Wrigley game without wind variables is enough to justify using him.
OTHER PITCHING THOUGHTS
- Kyle Freeland and Jack Leiter are both worthy of taking some shots on in a secondary lineup or two.
- Ruling out Senga (& Keller) because of weather.
- Both Brandon Pfaadt and Robbie Ray are fades for me.
ATHLETICS
Butler, Langeliers
While the Dodgers are going to collect all the “implied run total” touting tonight, lets not overlook the fact that the worst pitcher on the slate is pitching for the Dodgers. Landon My Sharona Knack is going to give up 5 ER to the Athletics before leaving in the third inning.
BRAVES
Olson, Riley, Ozuna
Welcome back Michael Soroka. No, you are not going to shut down the Braves — don’t even think about it. I am spending up on pitching tonight (and you should too), but these Braves bats are kinda cheap all things considered. Weather will be stormy late, but should hold off.
RAYS
Lowe, Simpson, Aranda, Diaz
Bad spot for Berrios IMO. He definitely could pull out one of his magical games but the Rays balance of lefties will make that problematic tonight. He’s coming off two good starts as well, so expect the collapse today.
OTHER NOTES …
DIAMONDBACKS / GIANTS
Favorite sleeper game tonight. Not sure where to trust the Giants offense though. Good late slate game stack.
CATCHER
- Will Smith
- Shea Langeliers
- Sean Murphy
- Ben Rortvedt
FIRST BASE
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
- Matt Olson
- Nick Kurtz
- Jonathan Aranda
SECOND BASE
Best position on the slate tonight. Love all four guys here.
- Ketel Marte
- Brandon Lowe
- Kike Hernandez … Also known as Enrique
- Ozzie Albies … I’m telling you, he will snap out of it with a homer…. I hope…
THIRD BASE
- Josh Jung
- Austin Riley
- Yandy Diaz
SHORTSTOP
- CJ Abrams
- Jordan Lawlar – Salary relief
- Jeremy Pena
OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore
- Lawrence Butler
- Seiya Suzuki
- Marcell Ozuna
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
OUTFIELD – Tier II
- Michael Harris II
- Chandler Simpson
- Aaron Judge
- Jung Hoo Lee
- Lawrence Butler – OF – Athletics – Chairman of The Dongers Club
- Enrique “Kike” Hernandez – 2B – Dodgers
- Seiya Suzuki – OF – Cubs
- Will Smith – C – Dodgers
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr – OF – Diamondbacks
- Josh Jung – 3B – Rangers
- Matt Olson – 1B – Braves
- Jeremy Pena – SS – Astros
- BONUS … Brandon Lowe – 2B – Rays
TOP BETS
Athletics ML
Athletics/Dodgers OVER 9
D’Backs/Giants OVER 7.5
Nationals/Braves OVER 8
Rays ML