The Dongers Club – June 21st – Early

← The Dongers Club hub  ·  Daily MLB home run picks & DFS, since August 2020. Browse the archive or see how DCPA works.

WEATHER Mariners at Cubs:  Alright, it’s about 9:51 as I write this and I am in Northern Virginia.  The Cubs game starts in 4 hours and I am trying to figure out how fast I can get to Chicago to watch this Mariners and Cubs game today.  An afternoon game in the Bleachers with 90+ degree temps and heavy winds out to dead center.  Forget the rest of the slate, I mean, why even bother? Basically every outdoor game is warm and has favorable winds.  Even Toronto could have the roof open today. GRANT HOLMES (DK: $9800, FD: $9200) … So we immediately go to the game down in South Beach for at least one pitcher and possibly a second.  I still dont think Holmes is that good but when he is bad he still manages to get the trust to go 5+ IP and work is way through it.  Avoid a few walks here and don’t give up a HR to Agustin Ramirez.  Simple formula for Holmes. JOSE BERRIOS (DK: $8300, FD: $9000) … Jays at home on Saturday afternoons.  He gets heavy run support against Civale & is coming off a down game, buy low here on Berrios although I say low and it’s hard not to see him being the second highest owned SP today. KUMAR ROCKER (DK: $6000, FD: $8200) … Every pitcher has that one or two bats which are obvious challenges.  For Rocker it’s Oneil Cruz, but after him I like my chances more than Mitch Keller dealing with Josh Smith and Evan Carter homers. SECONDARY OPTIONS Zach Eflin – Coming off a blow up against his former team down in Tampa, I really think he bounces back against the Yanks, but it is warm there obviously as well & I can understand if you are concerned with that.  He’s better than what he showed earlier this week. Eury Perez (DK: $5900) has to be on the radar.  The kid has enough talent with his breaking pitches to have a strikeout per inning, but getting 5 innings is about your ceiling. MITCH KELLER – Pending the Rangers lineup is okay.  Frustrating to roster though because its a struggle just to get 12 DK FPTS when you are giving up a hit every inning and carrying a low whiff rate.   https://youtu.be/HsHjW8rBRk0?si=qXRIi0ECoUIKcv79 There was a series a few years ago when the Twins went into…...

Keep reading — and get the full war room.

The rest of this breakdown is for members. A subscription unlocks the entire Daily Ambush platform:

  • Command Center — your entire slate on one screen
  • Tier-graded stacks (A/B/C) with heatmap and pair analysis
  • Ambush Intel — named AI agents tracking live P/L, every sport
  • Batter vs. pitcher pitch arsenals, xwOBA splits, BvP history
  • Lineup optimizer with pro stack rules and exposure controls
  • SIM Matrix — Monte Carlo simulation engine

View Membership Options Already a member? Log in