WEATHER
Shouldn’t have any PPD risk tonight
Not as many comfortable choices today, but then who really is a comfortable pitcher on most nights?
MAX FRIED (DK: $10,000, FD: $9400)
Yes, it has been rough for Fried for the past month or so but I am still a believer and the Rays have just 1 HR and a 25% strikeout rate against lefties in recent games. His PC has been fine and the walks the last two games should come back down. This is a spot they need a win and thus your ACE has to deliver. He should… (Yes, I said that last time too, I know)
PATRICK CORBIN (DK: $7700, FD: $8200)
Corbin’s telling us with his performance what he is once again and we need to believe it. Like the Rays, Anaheim is a bottom tier team against lefties once you put aside Ward and Adell.
SETH LUGO (DK: $8700, FD: $9300)
Nice little contract extension for Lugo which is big for the Royals short term future. He’s the type of guy I trust in warm conditions vs Atlanta.
PHILLIES
Kepler, Turner
Looks like the wind will be blowing out on the south side. Max Kepler hasn’t been having a great season but some rumors about him losing his job could spark him to do well in a stadium he always hit well in while with the Twins. Coupled with a white hot Turner, angry Harper and obviously the White Sox shaky pen makes this my top play.
DODGERS
Pages, Edman
In my long running dynasty league I had a buddy ask me my thoughts on Lodolo this week and I said yeah, you have to start him given how good he has been. And then I looked closely tonight and I deeply regret giving that advice. Too many guys on L.A. should square him up (Pages, Betts, Teoscar, Edman) and I haven’t even mentioned their “good” hitters. If Lodolo does get hit then it would also likely be a great spot for Tito to just punt his bullpen, making this a high upside spot.
ROYALS
Pasquantino, Witt
Another warm summer night in Kauffman & Erick Fedde is quickly back on the mound but with a new team. Pasquantino, Witt and Garcia are really the only Royals worth looking at if Salvy is out.
OTHER TARGETS & Why …
- MARINERS: Severino bad at home
- CUBS/BREWERS: Both teams find a way to put up runs early in this game & Brewers hammer the Cubs bullpen
- NATIONALS: James Wood slump buster game
CATCHER
- Jonah Heim
- Carson Kelly … Just missed one last night and should have low K% against Priester
- Salvador Perez … Left early last night, so we’ll see if he is in today.
FIRST BASE
- Vinnie Pasquantino
- Nick Kurtz
- Josh Naylor
SECOND BASE
- Brice Turang
- Brendan Donovan
- Jose Iglesias
- Luis Garcia Jr.
THIRD BASE
- Alex Bregman
- Ryan McMahon
- Tommy Edman
SHORTSTOP
- Trea Turner
- Elly De La Cruz
- Bobby Witt Jr.
- JP Crawford
OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore
- James Wood
- Max Kepler
- Andy Pages
- Seiya Suzuki
OUTFIELD – Tier II
- Christian Yelich
- Julio Rodriguez
- Lawrence Butler
- Tommy Pham
- Max Kepler – OF – Philadelphia Phillies – Chairman of The Dongers Club
- James Wood – OF – Nationals
- Vinnie Pasquantino – 1B – Royals
- Elly De La Cruz – SS – Reds
- Brice Turang – 2B – Brewers
- Alex Bregman – 3B – Red Sox
- Seiya Suzuki – OF – Cubs
- Jonah Heim – C – Rangers
- BONUS … Andy Pages – OF – Dodgers
BETS
- Milwaukee ML
- Kansas City ML
- Phillies / White Sox OVER 8.5
- Pittsburgh / San Francisco UNDER 8