This is a very top heavy slate, which is more saying that we just have a bunch of lopsided spreads and they all kinda seem to be legit as well. This slate also gives us value at QB, RB and WR, with RB and WR being the likely spots everyone runs too for their punt plays to lock in two QB with big upside.
Back the overs in CFB this weekend. If the games on Friday night taught us anything it is that 1) New Mexico just dropped their dick on UCLA by not taking a knee with 10 seconds remaining, 2) Offenses are taking their shots now and the CFB big play season is here and 3) Kansas State is terrible.
On to Saturday…
CLEMSON at GEORGIA TECH (OU: 51.5)
Trust two good Quarterbacks facing off against each other. And two guys whom both teams are going to trust to push the ball down the field in many different ways, which fuels this game for being a great shootout that I’d be shocked if the total was still in doubt in the 3rd Quarter.
Nobody is going to be on Cade Klubnik today & if you wanted to ride a low owned stud upside QB, he is that guy.
CLEM – Cade Klubnik / Adam Randall / Bryant Wesco
GT – Haynes King / Malik Rutherford / Jamal Haynes
OREGON STATE at TEXAS TECH
OSU – Maalik Murphy / Trent Walker
TTU – Behren Morton / J’Koby Williams / Reggie Virgil
TOP PLAYS
Haynes King (Georgia Tech – $7800) … Senior QB and it feels like an early statement game opportunity for him with Clemson and their hype coming into town. Noon kick and likely the best early window game. I’ll take the HOME QB.
Cade Klubnik (Clemson – $8700) … We can do a QB double stack today because of WR and RB punt values that are available.
SECOND TIER
Maalik Murphy (Oregon State – $5000) … Really tempting value here. He likely projects to account for 2 touchdowns and should have plenty of chances to put together some yardage stats as well. For 5k, this is a near steal at S-FLEX if you wanna go this route on this game.
Jayden Maiava (USC – $8900)
I would start builds around the RB position today, it feels like it’s the most direct spot in terms of how we’re going to wind up playing it. There’s a few of the best RB going today in Justice Haynes and of course Des Reid. Then there is Kevin Riley, who is the bare minimum 3k on DraftKings, at home and in a situation where Alabama could give him a good amount more run — especially if they do come out and make a statement on Wisconsin
TOP PLAYS
Desmond Reid (Pittsburgh – $8500) … He is so electric and right now it really feels like West Virginia was clearly looking ahead vs Ohio last week. This game could really blow up big time in a warm Morgantown, WV and that plays extremely well into Reid being a highly productive play.
UPDATE: RB2 for me is a tough call today. I am most likely going to recommend just taking the bare min 3k salary on Kevin Riley since his usage should continue to go up & going 2 QB is logical on this slate.
Cameron Dickey (Texas Tech – $6600) & J’Koby Williams (Texas Tech – $7000) … One of the best games on the slate might wind up being that amazing Oregon State/Texas Tech rivalry! Yeah, sure. They’re likely to hurt each other but you aren’t that stupid i fyou decided to roll them both the way they can produce against what appears to be a really bad OSU rush defense.
Adam Randall (Clemson – $6200)
VALUE
Kevin Riley (Alabama – $3000)
FADE SPOT
Justice Haynes – Michigan: Is Blue going to try and run it up on Central Michigan with Justice Haynes or do they let Underwood get that first big game under his belt. This is a probable fade for me with other RB on the slate looking good.
CORE PLAYS
Brayant Wesco (Clemson – $5600) … While King is my QB1, there’s a good path to getting Klubnik exposure in the same game without forcing the 2 QB play. Wesco is a must play if Antonio Williams sits, and even strong IMO if he actually plays.
Trent Walker (Oregon State – $5300) … Reception machine in a game with really good proejcted tempo.
SECOND TIER
Malik Rutherford (GA Tech – $5200) … Top correlation with King as he is a solid TD threat on a little trick play down in the red zone.
Makai Lemon (USC – $6700) … Dont yell at me when JaKobi Lane scores the first TD, but the USC WR all together are in a very favorable matchup. That said, I’m still a little cautious of these PAC-10 teams going on the road in their new conference here in year two.
BEST VALUES
Parker Livingstone (Texas – $3500) … Up there in terms of best value you will see all season long at WR.
Cam Vaughn (WVU – $4600)
DEEPEST POSITION FOR FLEX
WR, although QB for S-FLEX
CORE PLAYS
Haynes King
Desmond Reid
Kevin Riley
Bryant Wesco
FAVORITE BETS
Clemson / Georgia Tech OVER 51.5
South Alabama +24.5