Ohio State at Washington
- There’s points in this ‘Rose Bowl’ type rivalry game. Is this the Jeremiah Smith actually show up in a big game spot? He’s gonna have to do something against the 69th ranked pass defense for Washington. Enough to justify 9k though I don’t think so. Carnell Tate and CJ Donaldson should be on your radar for the Buckeyes. Love a big spot game from Washington QB Desmond Williams and WR Denzel Boston. This game looks to be low owned and is a sneaky game stack.
Cincinnati at Kansas
- In a vacuum (who comes up with that term anyways?), Jalon Daniels at $7100 is about as automatic of a naked play him and be comfortable play. We start there & we assume that Kansas’ defense is going to be more likey they were against Mizzou. Cyrus Allen ($4400) has seen 22% targets but dont sleep on Jeff Caldwell. He is a big 6’5 WR who can do some damage.
Louisville at Pittsburgh
- So right now Desmond Reid is officially still listed as ‘Questionable’ but not likely to play. His absence puts everything not just on Eli Holstein but on Raphael Williams and Kenny Johnson in the passing game, and they would immediately be leverage/pivots off a chalky Juelz Goff at RB. Louisville is only a 4.5 point favorite here with the Reid Q label – so I think we get some points oeverall in this game. Miller Moss to Chris Bell is going to be a must connection for the Cardinals to cover.
LSU at Ole Miss
- The SEC game of the day features Lane Kiffin getting a 3:30 re-match with the Tigers after losing in OT on a Louisiana Saturday Night a year ago.
TOP PLAYS
There’s a big gap IMO between the safety that Daniels should bring and the risk in Altmyer which is a game that could be a snoozefest early and shootout late. Not a bad slate to consider pivoting off chalk which is Haynes King #1, Daniels #2 and then a mix of 4-6 guys after that. Honorable mention here to Eli Holstein and Jackson Arnold….
- Jalon Daniels (Kansas – $7100)
- Luke Altmyer (Illinois – $6200)
BEST VALUE
- Miller Moss (Louisville – $5700)
BEST SLEEPER
- Desmond Williams (Washington – $8200)
TOP PLAYS
This is not that great of a RB slate — definitely not as favorable as last week was. So my preference is just to find some mid-range home RB’s that we can hope get into the end zone
- Kewayn Lacy (Ole Miss – $6700) … So just as I get done saying I’m not in love with the RB pool, I have to drop my top CORE play today. Lacy is scoring twice. The LSU defense is good yes, but I need to see them stop the run on the road a second time before we just auto avoid them. Lacy will score twice inside the five and go over 100 yards.
- Demond Claiborne (Wake Forest – $5900) … Im scared that Claiborne is gonna bust one off at 15-20% ownership because his stats are really inflated from one game. Georgia Tech isn’t a great rush defense by any stretch here and he is gonna get the bulk of the run.
- Bryson Washington (Baylor – $9100)
BEST VALUE
- Juelz Goff (Pittsburgh – $3600) … Only if Reid is out
- Leshon Williams (Kansas – $3900) … Value and definitely could be paired even with Daniels at this cheap of a play
BEST SLEEPER
- Kaden Feagin (Illinois – $5700)
TOP PLAYS
- KC Concepcion (Texas A&M – $5700) … This is the type of game you get Concepcion for.
- Chris Bell (Louisville – $6200)
- Mario Craver (Mississippi State – $5200) … Should be among the higher owned plas. Seeing almost 10 targets consistently & only $5200.
BEST VALUE
- Raphael Williams (Pittsburgh – $4800)
- Trey’Dez Green (LSU – $4200)
BEST SLEEPER(S)
- Denzel Boston (Washington – $7500)
- Aaron Anderson (LSU – $6600) … TreyDez Green is returning and he was a problem for Ole Miss a year ago. Obviously I like him as a value play but this also opens it up for Anderson to have a higher success rate on catches. 7 catches is very much a possibility if LSU comes out throwing.
DEEPEST POSITION FOR FLEX
WR by far
CORE PLAYS
Jalon Daniels
Kewan Lacy
Mario Craver
FAVORITE BETS
Illinois ML 1st Half
Kansas -5.5
Notre Dame / Arkansas UNDER 64.5
Washington +8.5
Ole Miss ML