WEATHER
Angels at White Sox: Rain off and on, big wind gusts at times.
Mariners at Twins: Rain all day which fades as the game comes in, but they could just decide to PPD it early
MAX FRIED (DK: $9700, FD: $10,900)
I’m not sure why my model isn’t higher on Fried here today. The Rangers in their home park aren’t a huge threat and even though he wont repeat the Boston start, he only threw 100 pitches in that game. It’s not like its a 120 pitch outing we are going B2B with here. Maybe 10 years ago McCutchen would be a threat, but not now. Fried can get Nimmo and Seager out and he’s on his way to another great start.
MATTHEW BOYD (DK: $7700)
San Diego is back from Mexico & back in PETCO. Boyd went 84 pitches in his return off the IL, expect similar output here – maybe into the 90’s with a heavy dose of change-ups against the Padres fastball seeking lineup.
THIRD OPTIONS
I don’t really have anyone else today.
Luis Castillo could pitch above expectations, but weather and just lack of faith in him are risks. Dylan Cease and Yamamoto are likely the chalky guys that I don’t recommend using. Cease is in an environment where the Sox are going to be pesky & probably come in aggressive. I think the Sox lefties are a good sneaky stack in fact. Yamamoto’s not gonna match Fried & the Marlins are pesky.
I dont have one team far above another one today. The spots that might feel obvious arent as glaringly strong as you want them to be. i.e. Toronto vs Suarez is good, not great. This is your ultimate Mt. Rushmore pick 3 stud hitters and mix in value around it kinda slate.
BLUE JAYS
- Vlad Jr.
- Ernie Clement
- Kaz Okamoto
MARINERS (Weather Risk)
Love J-Rod but the weather could push this game down.
- Julio Rodriguez
- Randy Arozarena
- Mitch Garver
PIRATES
Theyre extremely expensive all things considered because you need Lowe & Cruz. I expect them to put up 6-7 runs though.
- Oneil Cruz
- Brandon Lowe
CATCHER
- Austin Wells
- Mitch Garver
- Agustin Ramirez
FIRST BASE
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
- Michael Busch
- Freddie Freeman
SECOND BASE
- Brandon Lowe
- Oswaldo Peraza
- Ernie Clement
THIRD BASE
- Alex Bregman
- Kazuma Okamoto
- Royce Lewis
SHORTSTOP
- Otto Lopez
- Colson Montgomery
- Zach Neto
OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore
OF is the deepest spot today by a mile. The Yankees trio is going to be popular because Leiter has lost his command & well, folks like to play the dumb implied run total line. There are a million good pivots.
Especially if you are a) right handed, b) power hitting, c) Dominican or Cuban.
- Teoscar Hernandez
- Julio Rodriguez
- Jorge Soler
- Eloy Jimenez
OUTFIELD – White Boy Mt Rushmore
- Kyle Stowers
- Jarren Duran
- Jakob Marsee
- Davis Schneider
- Alex Bregman – 3B – Cubs – Chairman of The Dongers Club
- Teoscar Hernandez – OF – L.A. Dodgers
- Jorge Soler – OF – Angels
- Julio Rodriguez – OF – Mariners
- Vlad Guerrero Jr – 1B – Blue Jays
- Austin Wells – C – Yankees
- Colson Montgomery – SS – White Sox
- Brandon Lowe – 2B – Pirates
- BONUS ….. Jarren Duran – OF – Red Sox
BETS
- Cardinals / Pirates OVER 8
- Toronto ML -136